科研管理
科研管理
과연관리
Science Research Management
2013年
10期
122~130
,共null页
科学发展观 科技评价 指标数值变化 实证研究
科學髮展觀 科技評價 指標數值變化 實證研究
과학발전관 과기평개 지표수치변화 실증연구
scientific outlook on development; S＆T evaluation; change of indicators＇ value; empirical study
根据＂坚持以人为本,树立全面、协调、可持续的发展观,促进经济社会和人的全面发展＂的科学发展观内涵,通过R聚类和因子分析建立中国省份科技评价指标体系。根据科技产出、科技对经济和社会的影响、科技投入等准则,通过指标数值变化方法确定指标权重,建立基于指标数值变化的科技评价模型,并采用我国14个典型省份2009年的科技数据进行实证研究。本文的创新及特色一是根据特定指标数值变化前、变化后两种状态对评价结果的影响程度来确定该指标的权重。体现对评价结果影响越大的指标、对应权重越大的赋权思路。改变现有研究在确定权重时忽略了指标值变化对评价结果影响程度大小的问题。二是万元GDP综合能耗、科技进步贡献率、工业固体废物综合利用率、高技术产品出口额、高技术产业总产值占工业总产值比重等五个评价指标对省份科技发展起着至关重要的作用。这五个评价指标的权重之和高达0.615 0。
根據＂堅持以人為本,樹立全麵、協調、可持續的髮展觀,促進經濟社會和人的全麵髮展＂的科學髮展觀內涵,通過R聚類和因子分析建立中國省份科技評價指標體繫。根據科技產齣、科技對經濟和社會的影響、科技投入等準則,通過指標數值變化方法確定指標權重,建立基于指標數值變化的科技評價模型,併採用我國14箇典型省份2009年的科技數據進行實證研究。本文的創新及特色一是根據特定指標數值變化前、變化後兩種狀態對評價結果的影響程度來確定該指標的權重。體現對評價結果影響越大的指標、對應權重越大的賦權思路。改變現有研究在確定權重時忽略瞭指標值變化對評價結果影響程度大小的問題。二是萬元GDP綜閤能耗、科技進步貢獻率、工業固體廢物綜閤利用率、高技術產品齣口額、高技術產業總產值佔工業總產值比重等五箇評價指標對省份科技髮展起著至關重要的作用。這五箇評價指標的權重之和高達0.615 0。
근거＂견지이인위본,수립전면、협조、가지속적발전관,촉진경제사회화인적전면발전＂적과학발전관내함,통과R취류화인자분석건립중국성빈과기평개지표체계。근거과기산출、과기대경제화사회적영향、과기투입등준칙,통과지표수치변화방법학정지표권중,건립기우지표수치변화적과기평개모형,병채용아국14개전형성빈2009년적과기수거진행실증연구。본문적창신급특색일시근거특정지표수치변화전、변화후량충상태대평개결과적영향정도래학정해지표적권중。체현대평개결과영향월대적지표、대응권중월대적부권사로。개변현유연구재학정권중시홀략료지표치변화대평개결과영향정도대소적문제。이시만원GDP종합능모、과기진보공헌솔、공업고체폐물종합이용솔、고기술산품출구액、고기술산업총산치점공업총산치비중등오개평개지표대성빈과기발전기착지관중요적작용。저오개평개지표적권중지화고체0.615 0。
According to the connotation of the scientific outlook on development： ＂insisting on human-oriented,creating the comprehensive,coordinated and sustainable outlook on development,and promoting the overall development of economy,society and human＂,this paper establishes an indicators system to evaluate science and technology（ST） among Chinese provinces based on the R cluster and factor analysis.According to the evaluation principles which include the ST output,the influence of ST on economy and society and the ST input,by using value change of each indicator to determine their weights,this paper constructs the ST evaluation model based on the indicator value change,and then carries out an empirical study of 14 typical provinces of China in 2009.The contribution and special features of this paper lie in two aspects.Firstly,this paper determines the weight of indicators by comparing the result of clustering between the original indicator values and the changed ones.It reflects the idea that the greater the indicators＇ impact on the evaluation results is,the bigger their weights should be.This changes the situation that existing researches neglect indicators change＇s impact on evaluation result when determining their weights.Secondly,the five main influential indicators of ST development are comprehensive energy consumption per ten-thousand-yuan GDP,the contribution rate of ST progress,the comprehensive utilization rate of industrial solid waste,export of high-tech products and the gross yield proportion of high-tech industries and total industries.These five indicators play an important role on the ST development and the sum of their weight is up to 0.6150.
