生态经济
生態經濟
생태경제
Ecological Economy
2013年
11期
113~115
,共null页
农业保险 区域产量保险 风险区划
農業保險 區域產量保險 風險區劃
농업보험 구역산량보험 풍험구화
agricultural insurance; area yield crop insurance; risk zoning
目前农作物区域产量保险风险区划相关研究中，大多是选取几个主导指标，然后使用聚类分析进行划分。若指标更全面、数量更多且类别丰富，则不适宜直接进行聚类。本文以湖北水稻为例，选取气候、灾害、地形、水利、产量等6类共12个指标，联合运用因子分析和聚类分析，划分湖北中稻县域产量保险风险区划，效果较好。实证结果表明，鄂西北风险较高，鄂东南和鄂西南风险中等，其他地区风险较低。
目前農作物區域產量保險風險區劃相關研究中，大多是選取幾箇主導指標，然後使用聚類分析進行劃分。若指標更全麵、數量更多且類彆豐富，則不適宜直接進行聚類。本文以湖北水稻為例，選取氣候、災害、地形、水利、產量等6類共12箇指標，聯閤運用因子分析和聚類分析，劃分湖北中稻縣域產量保險風險區劃，效果較好。實證結果錶明，鄂西北風險較高，鄂東南和鄂西南風險中等，其他地區風險較低。
목전농작물구역산량보험풍험구화상관연구중，대다시선취궤개주도지표，연후사용취류분석진행화분。약지표경전면、수량경다차유별봉부，칙불괄의직접진행취류。본문이호북수도위례，선취기후、재해、지형、수리、산량등6류공12개지표，연합운용인자분석화취류분석，화분호북중도현역산량보험풍험구화，효과교호。실증결과표명，악서북풍험교고，악동남화악서남풍험중등，기타지구풍험교저。
Most of current research on risk zoning of county yield crop insurance is carried out through selecting several main indices and then classifying them by fuzzy clustering method. Actually, the fuzzy clustering method is not suitable if there are many and various indices. With rice production in Hubei Province as the example, the article selects twelve indices, which are classified into six categories, such as climate, agricultural disasters, topography and water resources facilities and output. It makes risk zoning of county yield mid-season rice insurance of Hubei Province by factor analysis method and fuzzy clustering method. The empirical result suggests that yield risk of mid-season rice production in western and northern Hubei Province is high, that in southeastern and southwestern Hubei Province is intermediate, and that in rest districts of Hubei Province is low.
