首都经济贸易大学学报
首都經濟貿易大學學報
수도경제무역대학학보
Journal of Capital University of Economics and Business
2013年
6期
49~56
,共null页
中国对外贸易 外部区域结构 复合指标法
中國對外貿易 外部區域結構 複閤指標法
중국대외무역 외부구역결구 복합지표법
Chinese foreign trade; exterior regional types; composite-index method
本文在综合现有单一指标划分方法的基础上,提出综合考虑净贸易额率和总贸易额率的复合型指标法及其修正方法,并运用以上多种划分方法实证研究中国贸易外部区域类型的多种划分方案.结果表明:复合指标法综合考虑了净贸易率和总贸易率,可以同时测度出贸易的流动方向性和活跃度,能清晰分辨出平衡活跃区这种特殊类型.修正型复合指标法,能有效消除发达国家GDP较大使贸易活跃度被低估,发展中国家GDP较小导致贸易活跃度被高估的偏差,结果更能体现中国外贸市场空间分布实际特点.中国对外贸易空间格局受区位、比较成本优势和对外贸易政策等条件影响.
本文在綜閤現有單一指標劃分方法的基礎上,提齣綜閤攷慮淨貿易額率和總貿易額率的複閤型指標法及其脩正方法,併運用以上多種劃分方法實證研究中國貿易外部區域類型的多種劃分方案.結果錶明:複閤指標法綜閤攷慮瞭淨貿易率和總貿易率,可以同時測度齣貿易的流動方嚮性和活躍度,能清晰分辨齣平衡活躍區這種特殊類型.脩正型複閤指標法,能有效消除髮達國傢GDP較大使貿易活躍度被低估,髮展中國傢GDP較小導緻貿易活躍度被高估的偏差,結果更能體現中國外貿市場空間分佈實際特點.中國對外貿易空間格跼受區位、比較成本優勢和對外貿易政策等條件影響.
본문재종합현유단일지표화분방법적기출상,제출종합고필정무역액솔화총무역액솔적복합형지표법급기수정방법,병운용이상다충화분방법실증연구중국무역외부구역류형적다충화분방안.결과표명:복합지표법종합고필료정무역솔화총무역솔,가이동시측도출무역적류동방향성화활약도,능청석분변출평형활약구저충특수류형.수정형복합지표법,능유효소제발체국가GDP교대사무역활약도피저고,발전중국가GDP교소도치무역활약도피고고적편차,결과경능체현중국외무시장공간분포실제특점.중국대외무역공간격국수구위、비교성본우세화대외무역정책등조건영향.
After reviewing the current methods for analyzing regional types of exterior trade, the authors put forward a new composite-index method and its further modification method consisting of two indexes simultaneously : the net trade volume rate and gross trade volume rate. Further, those methods are empirically tested by using China' s 2010 trade data and the world' s GDP data. The results show: The composite-indexes method is much better than the traditional single-index method because it can measure the trade direction and scale of trade volume and in particular it can identify the unique regional types called balance active region. The modified composite-indexes method can effectively correct the over or under-estimated error due to the rather large or small GDP of a country or a region. The spatial patterns of different types of Chinese foreign trade exterior regional are closely related to location, advantage of comparative cost and policy of foreign trade.