旅游学刊
旅遊學刊
여유학간
Tourism Tribune
2013年
11期
50~58
,共null页
罗文斌 徐飞雄 Dallen J.Timothy 黄艺农 张彤
囉文斌 徐飛雄 Dallen J.Timothy 黃藝農 張彤
라문빈 서비웅 Dallen J.Timothy 황예농 장동
城市旅游 游客满意度 影响因素 Probit模型 长沙市
城市旅遊 遊客滿意度 影響因素 Probit模型 長沙市
성시여유 유객만의도 영향인소 Probit모형 장사시
urban tourism ; visitor satisfaction ; influential factors ; Probit model; Changsha City
游客满意度是衡量城市旅游发展的重要指标之一,掌握和控制游客满意度的影响因素对城市旅游发展和管理越来越关键。国内外研究综述表明,城市旅游的游客满意度影响因素及其关系的定量研究尚不多见,尤其对城市特征因素的研究。城市特征是城市旅游的必要组成,作为客观因素对游客满意度的影响不言而喻。文章运用文献分析法、问卷调查法和二元Probit离散选择模型计量法,以长沙市477名游客的现场调查数据为基础,对城市特征、个人特征和旅游动机三大变量下10个影响因素与游客满意度之间的假设关系进行检验。研究结果显示,修正后的游客满意度影响因素Probit模型具有统计学意义,6个研究假设得到验证;研究结论表明,城市社会发展水平、城市绿化水平、环境保护水平、旅游资源丰富程度、游客月收入、游客是否主动到访等因素对城市旅游的游客满意度产生显著的正面影响,其中,游客主动到访因素对游客满意度的影响作用最大,城市社会发展水平影响作用最小。研究结论一定程度上有利于促使城市管理者更多关注城市发展与旅游质量,最后,从满意度改善系统、城市要素建设、城市旅游资源开发和游客营销引导等方面提出政策建议。
遊客滿意度是衡量城市旅遊髮展的重要指標之一,掌握和控製遊客滿意度的影響因素對城市旅遊髮展和管理越來越關鍵。國內外研究綜述錶明,城市旅遊的遊客滿意度影響因素及其關繫的定量研究尚不多見,尤其對城市特徵因素的研究。城市特徵是城市旅遊的必要組成,作為客觀因素對遊客滿意度的影響不言而喻。文章運用文獻分析法、問捲調查法和二元Probit離散選擇模型計量法,以長沙市477名遊客的現場調查數據為基礎,對城市特徵、箇人特徵和旅遊動機三大變量下10箇影響因素與遊客滿意度之間的假設關繫進行檢驗。研究結果顯示,脩正後的遊客滿意度影響因素Probit模型具有統計學意義,6箇研究假設得到驗證;研究結論錶明,城市社會髮展水平、城市綠化水平、環境保護水平、旅遊資源豐富程度、遊客月收入、遊客是否主動到訪等因素對城市旅遊的遊客滿意度產生顯著的正麵影響,其中,遊客主動到訪因素對遊客滿意度的影響作用最大,城市社會髮展水平影響作用最小。研究結論一定程度上有利于促使城市管理者更多關註城市髮展與旅遊質量,最後,從滿意度改善繫統、城市要素建設、城市旅遊資源開髮和遊客營銷引導等方麵提齣政策建議。
유객만의도시형량성시여유발전적중요지표지일,장악화공제유객만의도적영향인소대성시여유발전화관리월래월관건。국내외연구종술표명,성시여유적유객만의도영향인소급기관계적정량연구상불다견,우기대성시특정인소적연구。성시특정시성시여유적필요조성,작위객관인소대유객만의도적영향불언이유。문장운용문헌분석법、문권조사법화이원Probit리산선택모형계량법,이장사시477명유객적현장조사수거위기출,대성시특정、개인특정화여유동궤삼대변량하10개영향인소여유객만의도지간적가설관계진행검험。연구결과현시,수정후적유객만의도영향인소Probit모형구유통계학의의,6개연구가설득도험증;연구결론표명,성시사회발전수평、성시녹화수평、배경보호수평、여유자원봉부정도、유객월수입、유객시부주동도방등인소대성시여유적유객만의도산생현저적정면영향,기중,유객주동도방인소대유객만의도적영향작용최대,성시사회발전수평영향작용최소。연구결론일정정도상유리우촉사성시관리자경다관주성시발전여여유질량,최후,종만의도개선계통、성시요소건설、성시여유자원개발화유객영소인도등방면제출정책건의。
Visitor satisfaction is one of the most important indicators of the success of urban tourism development. However, mastering and controlling its influence is becoming more and more critical to urban tourism development and management. It is important for cities to increase the level of visitor satisfaction, improve urban tourism development, coordinate the relationship between urban development and urban tourism and enhance the sustainable development of urban tourism. According to the international literature, research on urban tourism in western countries originated in the mid-1960s, almost 20 years earlier than in China. The research content and themed have become richer and deeper in recent years, emphasizing concerns about urban heritage management and protection, urban tourism environments, business tourism and shopping tourism, theoretical framework development, the impacts of urban tourism, sustainability, and research progress. Although some research discusses the use satisfaction and production development in the context of international urban tourism, as well as visitors' perceptions of international cities, few studies have examined the most influential factors affecting tourists' satisfaction with urban tourism. In China, there are several shortcomings in the research on urban tourism. First, few scholars have undertaken quantitative analyses regarding the influence of, and relationship between visitors' satisfaction and urban characteristics, or visitors satisfaction and social demographics. Second, most literature on visitor satisfaction focuses on simple comparisons between expected and perceived experiences. Third, few, if any, have applied econometrics to test the causality between visitors' satisfaction, urban feature and demographics. Considering these deficiencies, document analysis, questionnaires and a Bivariate Discrete Probit Choice Model were used to test hypotheses about influential factors and visitor satisfaction. The influential factors were grouped into three main variables--urban features, personal characteristics and tourist motivation--and ten indicators. Data were collected from 477 visitors through an on-site survey in Changsha City. The results confirmed six hypotheses, and the modified visitor satisfaction-influenced Probit model exhibited statistical significance. The results indicate that the level of urban social development, degree of environmental protection, abundance of tourism resources, visitors' monthly salary, and positive visit motives have a positive effeet on visitors' satisfaction. Among those variables, positive visit motives have the strongest influence, with the influenee eoefficient being 0. 950122, while urban social development demonstrated the weakest influenee, with the coeffieient being 0. 205284. These findings raise coneerns about urban development and quality of tourism. Finally, policy suggestions for city tourism managers are discussed, ineluding improving systems of satisfaction, urban development and infrastrueture, urban tourism resource development, and tourism marketing.