CAJ | 학술논문

首先建立了科技竞争力的指标体系，并利用层次分析法确定指标权重，进而采用灰色预测法对我国主要中心城市十二五末期科技竞争力进行了预测。结果表明，届时城市科技竞争力都有所提升，城市科技竞争力出现新的格局，并表现出创新水平“收敛”、发展不平衡等一系列新特点。
수선건립료과기경쟁력적지표체계，병이용층차분석법학정지표권중，진이채용회색예측법대아국주요중심성시십이오말기과기경쟁력진행료예측。결과표명，계시성시과기경쟁력도유소제승，성시과기경쟁력출현신적격국，병표현출창신수평“수렴”、발전불평형등일계렬신특점。
Firstly, this paper established the index system of competitiveness in science and technology , and make use of AHP to determine weights, and then use the gray prediction method to foreeast the competitiveness in S＆T of major cities in China on twelfth five-year late. The resuits show that the pattern of competitiveness in science and technology happen emergence, and show a series of new features, such as the conver gent of innovation, and the unbalance development etc.