CAJ | 학술논문

选取2002-2011年间西北五省区关于自然资源禀赋和能源消耗以及经济增长变量的面板数据,建立回归模型,通过Hausman检验,对其进行随机效应回归分析,实证检验了自然资源与经济增长的关系以及政府干预对自然资源和经济增长的影响.研究表明：在资源丰富的西北五省区,资源禀赋与经济增长之间并无显著负相关关系,政府干预对地区经济发展的推动作用也是有限的;但社会固定资产投资对于经济增长的作用日趋重要.这一结论否定了资源丰裕地区会出现“资源诅咒”的命题,为防范和破解“资源诅咒”提供了借鉴.资源富集区应推动产业结构升级,摆脱资源消耗型发展模式,促进产业协调发展,进一步规范地方政府行为,建立健全公开公正的监督管理体系,使资源富集区能充分、高效地利用自然资源,进而促进经济增长.
선취2002-2011년간서북오성구관우자연자원품부화능원소모이급경제증장변량적면판수거,건립회귀모형,통과Hausman검험,대기진행수궤효응회귀분석,실증검험료자연자원여경제증장적관계이급정부간예대자연자원화경제증장적영향.연구표명：재자원봉부적서북오성구,자원품부여경제증장지간병무현저부상관관계,정부간예대지구경제발전적추동작용야시유한적;단사회고정자산투자대우경제증장적작용일추중요.저일결론부정료자원봉유지구회출현“자원저주”적명제,위방범화파해“자원저주”제공료차감.자원부집구응추동산업결구승급,파탈자원소모형발전모식,촉진산업협조발전,진일보규범지방정부행위,건립건전공개공정적감독관리체계,사자원부집구능충분、고효지이용자연자원,진이촉진경제증장.
Through an analysis on panel data of variables on natural resource and natural cost and economic growth from 2002 to 2008 of five provinces or regions in the northwest of China, by establishing the regression model and using Hausman test, this paper indicates the relationship between natural resources and the growth of economy and find out the influence on economy from government intervene. Then it proves that in the resource- rich areas of western China of five provinces or regions, resources endowment and economic growth has no significant negative correlation, government intervene has no certain role in promoting the regional economic growth either. But the role of social investment in fixed assets for economic growth has become increasingly important. This conclusion negates the interprovincial of that areas will appear ＂resource curse＂, provides reference to prevent and solve the problem, and suggests to promote the industrial structure upgrading to change the resource consumption development model, to drive the coordinated development of each industry and to perfect regional government behavior and perfect the supervision.