当代经济管理
噹代經濟管理
당대경제관리
Contemporary Economic Management
2013年
11期
80~85
,共null页
金融发展 产业结构调整 新疆地区 VAR估计
金融髮展 產業結構調整 新疆地區 VAR估計
금융발전 산업결구조정 신강지구 VAR고계
financial development ; industrial structure adjustment ; Xinjiang; AR estimation
以新疆地区1980年～2011年数据为样本，选取金融规模和金融效率衡量金融发展，以产业结构优化和产业结构升级衡量产业结构调整，采用VAR模型对新疆地区金融发展与产业结构调整之间的关系进行实证分析。结果表明，金融规模与产业结构调整具有长期关系，金融规模的扩大显著促进了产业结构的调整，并且二者互为因果关系；金融效率对产业结构调整具有正向影响关系，但不显著。
以新疆地區1980年～2011年數據為樣本，選取金融規模和金融效率衡量金融髮展，以產業結構優化和產業結構升級衡量產業結構調整，採用VAR模型對新疆地區金融髮展與產業結構調整之間的關繫進行實證分析。結果錶明，金融規模與產業結構調整具有長期關繫，金融規模的擴大顯著促進瞭產業結構的調整，併且二者互為因果關繫；金融效率對產業結構調整具有正嚮影響關繫，但不顯著。
이신강지구1980년～2011년수거위양본，선취금융규모화금융효솔형량금융발전，이산업결구우화화산업결구승급형양산업결구조정，채용VAR모형대신강지구금융발전여산업결구조정지간적관계진행실증분석。결과표명，금융규모여산업결구조정구유장기관계，금융규모적확대현저촉진료산업결구적조정，병차이자호위인과관계；금융효솔대산업결구조정구유정향영향관계，단불현저。
This paper, based on the data of Xinjiang from 1980 to 20l 1, makes an empirical analysis on the relationship between financial development and industrial structure adjustment with VAR model, utilizing financial scale and efficiency as financial development indicator and industrial structure upgrading and industrial structure optimizing as industrial structure adjustment indicator. The results show that there is a long run relationship between financial scale and industrial structure adjustment and enlarged financial scale significantly improves the industrial structure adjustment, and there is causal relationship between them. In addition, financial efficiency has positive effect on industrial structure adjustment, but it is not obvious.
