CAJ | 학술논문

笔者基于1993年～2008年省级面板数据，考察了FDI和对外贸易对经济增长方式的影响，研究凸显以1999年为断点的阶段性差异。全样本回归结果显示FDI流入促进了全要素生产率的提高，而对外开放度的提高抑制了全要素生产率的改进；以1997年为断点的分时期回归结果显示在1999年后对外开放度对全要素生产率产生的影响效果在削弱，而FDI的影响效果较为稳定；分区域的回归结果显示中部地区FDI和对外开放度对全要素生产率的影响最为显著，其次是西部地区和东部地区。
필자기우1993년～2008년성급면판수거，고찰료FDI화대외무역대경제증장방식적영향，연구철현이1999년위단점적계단성차이。전양본회귀결과현시FDI류입촉진료전요소생산솔적제고，이대외개방도적제고억제료전요소생산솔적개진；이1997년위단점적분시기회귀결과현시재1999년후대외개방도대전요소생산솔산생적영향효과재삭약，이FDI적영향효과교위은정；분구역적회귀결과현시중부지구FDI화대외개방도대전요소생산솔적영향최위현저，기차시서부지구화동부지구。
Based on provincial panel data from 1993 to 2008, the paper discusses the effects of FDI and openness degree on the transfor- mation of economic growth patterns. The results show the present difference with the breakpoint of 1999. Regression based on the total sample shows FDI contributes to the promotion of TFP, while openness degree prevents TFP; regression based on the breakpoint of 1999 shows openness degree after 1999 have less remarkable effects, while FDI has stable influence; regression based regions shows that FDI and openness degree in central region has more remarkable influence towards TFP than western region and eastern region. Pol- icy suggestion put forward based on China reality.