统计研究
統計研究
통계연구
Statistical Research
2013年
11期
83~91
,共null页
劳动工资 收益效应 成本效应 分类树模型
勞動工資 收益效應 成本效應 分類樹模型
노동공자 수익효응 성본효응 분류수모형
Wage; Income Effect ; Cost Effect ; Classification Tree Model
劳动工资上涨具有成本和收益双重影响，其中工资上涨带来成本增加是必然的，但基于工资上涨带来劳动生产率提升而形成的收益效应则是有条件的。本文基于浙江省制造业企业成本费用的调查数据发现，约有1／4强的企业有能力借助工资上涨的生产率提升实现净收益效应；但对于大部分资本密度低、与之匹配的劳动者人力资本也相对低的企业，净成本压力是普遍现象。面对劳动工资水平普遍上涨的趋势，需要分类引导以避免系统性的持续经营风险。
勞動工資上漲具有成本和收益雙重影響，其中工資上漲帶來成本增加是必然的，但基于工資上漲帶來勞動生產率提升而形成的收益效應則是有條件的。本文基于浙江省製造業企業成本費用的調查數據髮現，約有1／4彊的企業有能力藉助工資上漲的生產率提升實現淨收益效應；但對于大部分資本密度低、與之匹配的勞動者人力資本也相對低的企業，淨成本壓力是普遍現象。麵對勞動工資水平普遍上漲的趨勢，需要分類引導以避免繫統性的持續經營風險。
노동공자상창구유성본화수익쌍중영향，기중공자상창대래성본증가시필연적，단기우공자상창대래노동생산솔제승이형성적수익효응칙시유조건적。본문기우절강성제조업기업성본비용적조사수거발현，약유1／4강적기업유능력차조공자상창적생산솔제승실현정수익효응；단대우대부분자본밀도저、여지필배적노동자인력자본야상대저적기업，정성본압력시보편현상。면대노동공자수평보편상창적추세，수요분류인도이피면계통성적지속경영풍험。
The raising in wage is a double edged sword from costs and benefits for company. Higher wage enhance labor cost inevitably and definitely, while it could drive the productivity up and lead to higher income in certain conditions. The survey based on the cost of manufactory in Zhejiang Province which indicated that more than 25% companies got a net profit growth through the wage increasing by productivity acceleration. But most of the labor intensive companies that hire employees with lower human capital are bearing a net cost pressure. According to the general level of wages upward trend, the company need to classification guidance prevent systemic risks from continuing operations.
