财经论丛
財經論叢
재경론총
Collected Essays On Finance and Economics
2013年
6期
3~8
,共null页
农村劳动力流出 粮食生产 面板数据
農村勞動力流齣 糧食生產 麵闆數據
농촌노동력류출 양식생산 면판수거
rural labor outflow; grain production; panel data
本文利用面板数据模型，从省级层面分析了我国农村劳动力流出对不同空间区域粮食生产影响。研究结果表明，我国东部和中部农业人力资本与粮食产量呈正相关，说明这两个地区农村劳动力流出不利于其粮食生产的长期发展；我国西部农业人力资本与粮食产量呈负相关，说明西部农村劳动力流出有利于其粮食生产的发展；就全国整体而言，农业人力资本与粮食产量呈正相关，说明农村劳动力大规模流出不利于粮食的可持续发展。
本文利用麵闆數據模型，從省級層麵分析瞭我國農村勞動力流齣對不同空間區域糧食生產影響。研究結果錶明，我國東部和中部農業人力資本與糧食產量呈正相關，說明這兩箇地區農村勞動力流齣不利于其糧食生產的長期髮展；我國西部農業人力資本與糧食產量呈負相關，說明西部農村勞動力流齣有利于其糧食生產的髮展；就全國整體而言，農業人力資本與糧食產量呈正相關，說明農村勞動力大規模流齣不利于糧食的可持續髮展。
본문이용면판수거모형，종성급층면분석료아국농촌노동력류출대불동공간구역양식생산영향。연구결과표명，아국동부화중부농업인력자본여양식산량정정상관，설명저량개지구농촌노동력류출불리우기양식생산적장기발전；아국서부농업인력자본여양식산량정부상관，설명서부농촌노동력류출유리우기양식생산적발전；취전국정체이언，농업인력자본여양식산량정정상관，설명농촌노동력대규모류출불리우양식적가지속발전。
This paper analyses Chinese rural labor outflow to food production effects of different rural areas from provincial level by the panel data model. The results show： agricultural manpower and grain yield are positively correlated in China＇s eastern and central regions, indicating that rural labor outflow is not conducive to the long-term grain production in the two areas ; agricultural manpower and grain yield are negatively related, indicating that rural labor outflow is conducive to the development of grain production in western region; As for the whole country, agricultural manpower and grain yield are positively correlated, which means the large-scale rural labor outflow is not conducive to the sustainable food production.
