地域研究与开发
地域研究與開髮
지역연구여개발
Areal Research and Development
2013年
6期
116~120
,共null页
宋富强 郑壮丽 冯德显 张莉
宋富彊 鄭壯麗 馮德顯 張莉
송부강 정장려 풍덕현 장리
探索式空间数据分析(ESDA) 人口 经济 空间集聚 河南省
探索式空間數據分析(ESDA) 人口 經濟 空間集聚 河南省
탐색식공간수거분석(ESDA) 인구 경제 공간집취 하남성
exploratory spatial data analysis; population; economy; spatial agglomeration; Henan Province
摘要:基于ESDA方法,利用河南省2000-2009年人口数据和GDP数据,分析各市县人口、经济集聚特征、两者空间上的匹配关系及差异。结果表明:河南省各市县的人口和GDP空间分布表现出显著的高值和低值集聚特征,2000--2009年人口的空间集聚特征变化不大,但经济却呈现不平衡增长,空间差距日益拉大;河南省人口主要集聚在豫东黄淮海平原区,而经济发展则以郑汴洛为核心高高集聚,人口与经济空间集聚相分离。在人口与经济的空间集中化发展的规律下,河南省应加快推进粮食核心区的农业现代化,提高农业效益并释放农业劳动力;大力推动新型城镇化建设,促进农村剩余劳动力向其他产业转移;大力发展郑汴洛都市圈、中原城市群等经济空间高度发展的组织形态,促进人口等要素的大规模空间集聚。最终实现中原经济区人口分布与经济的协调发展。
摘要:基于ESDA方法,利用河南省2000-2009年人口數據和GDP數據,分析各市縣人口、經濟集聚特徵、兩者空間上的匹配關繫及差異。結果錶明:河南省各市縣的人口和GDP空間分佈錶現齣顯著的高值和低值集聚特徵,2000--2009年人口的空間集聚特徵變化不大,但經濟卻呈現不平衡增長,空間差距日益拉大;河南省人口主要集聚在豫東黃淮海平原區,而經濟髮展則以鄭汴洛為覈心高高集聚,人口與經濟空間集聚相分離。在人口與經濟的空間集中化髮展的規律下,河南省應加快推進糧食覈心區的農業現代化,提高農業效益併釋放農業勞動力;大力推動新型城鎮化建設,促進農村剩餘勞動力嚮其他產業轉移;大力髮展鄭汴洛都市圈、中原城市群等經濟空間高度髮展的組織形態,促進人口等要素的大規模空間集聚。最終實現中原經濟區人口分佈與經濟的協調髮展。
적요:기우ESDA방법,이용하남성2000-2009년인구수거화GDP수거,분석각시현인구、경제집취특정、량자공간상적필배관계급차이。결과표명:하남성각시현적인구화GDP공간분포표현출현저적고치화저치집취특정,2000--2009년인구적공간집취특정변화불대,단경제각정현불평형증장,공간차거일익랍대;하남성인구주요집취재예동황회해평원구,이경제발전칙이정변락위핵심고고집취,인구여경제공간집취상분리。재인구여경제적공간집중화발전적규률하,하남성응가쾌추진양식핵심구적농업현대화,제고농업효익병석방농업노동력;대력추동신형성진화건설,촉진농촌잉여노동력향기타산업전이;대력발전정변락도시권、중원성시군등경제공간고도발전적조직형태,촉진인구등요소적대규모공간집취。최종실현중원경제구인구분포여경제적협조발전。
Based on exploratory spatial data analysis (ESDA), the distributions of population and economic concentration, the relationship between these two indexes of cities and counties in Henan Province were analyzed by using the population and GDP data during 2000--2009. The results show that the spatial distributions of population and economy have significant spatial agglomeration. The spatial distributions of population had little change in 2000--2009, while the economy had unbalanced growth with widening gap of regions. Most of the population is con- centrated in East Henan and Huang-Huai-Hai plain, but economic development are characterized with high-high spatial agglomeration in Zhengbianluo metropolitan area, meaning that the distributions of population and economy in Henan are inconsistent. Under the rules of population and economic integrated development, the modernization of core area of grain production need to be advanced for improving agricultural effectiveness and releasing labor. The construction of the new urbanization should be promoted for transferring surplus rural labor toward other industries. The new form of economic organization, such as the Zhengbianluo metropolitan area and the Central Plain Urban Ag- glomeration, need to be developed for the large-scale agglomeration of population and other elements. Above strate- gies help to achieve the goal of coordinated of population distribution and economic growth in the Central Plains E- conomic Region.