CAJ | 학술논문

基于劳动力流动对发达地区与欠发达地区产出效应的差异化影响，提出劳动力流动对经济增长的宏观效应可能存在四个命题，并从要素投入视角提出了劳动力流动存在对经济增长的“贡献率”与“推动率”两个指标，最后从区域递归视角针对劳动力流动对中国经济增长整体效应的强弱性与显著性进行了经验研究。结论表明．2000—2005年、2006—2011年期间劳动力流动对中国经济增长的整体推动率分别为0．840k、0．12％，远低于学界1．5％-1．720k的估算，即劳动力流动对中国经济增长存在“弱正效应”而非“强正效应”，而且这一效应会随地区差距的拉大而变得更弱。
기우노동력류동대발체지구여흠발체지구산출효응적차이화영향，제출노동력류동대경제증장적굉관효응가능존재사개명제，병종요소투입시각제출료노동력류동존재대경제증장적“공헌솔”여“추동솔”량개지표，최후종구역체귀시각침대노동력류동대중국경제증장정체효응적강약성여현저성진행료경험연구。결론표명．2000—2005년、2006—2011년기간노동력류동대중국경제증장적정체추동솔분별위0．840k、0．12％，원저우학계1．5％-1．720k적고산，즉노동력류동대중국경제증장존재“약정효응”이비“강정효응”，이차저일효응회수지구차거적랍대이변득경약。
Based on differentiated output effects of labor migration on developed and underdeveloped areas, this paper proposes four pmposifions about macroeconomic effects of labor mobility on economic growth and then studies the intrinsic relationship, and puts forward two indicators involving ＂contribution rate＂ and ＂promofing rate＂ that labor migration exists on economic growth based on factor inputs. The findings show that the overall rates that labor mobility has the impact on China＇s economic growth during the two periods of 2000 - 2005 and 2006- 2011 are 0.84%, 0.12% respecfivly based on the recursion, which are below the scholars＇ estimate of the range 1.5- 1.72%. It comes to conclusion that the effect of labor migration on the growth is ＂weakly posi- five＂ rather than ＂strongly positive＂, which will become weaker with the widening of regional disparities.