CAJ | 학술논문

随着服务经济的兴起，生产性服务业在经济发展中的作用凸显，但目前我国生产性服务业发展还存在地区不平衡等问题。利用最小二乘（OLS）模型，识别出经济开放程度、外商直接投资（FDI）和工业化水平三大影响生产性服务业发展的因素，及其效应和作用程度。但是由于我国东中西三大区域生产性服务业发展的差异，采用地理加权回归（GWR）模型更能体现空间不平稳性和局部特性。实证研究结果表明，GWR模型比OLS模型的拟合程度更优，说明我国生产性服务业发展存在明显的区域不均衡，3个因素对全国各省份的影响程度也不尽相同。总体来说，经济开放程度和FDI对中西部省份的生产性服务业发展分别有更强的正向和负向作用，而工业化水平对东部省份的生产性服务业有着更明显的负向影响。
수착복무경제적흥기，생산성복무업재경제발전중적작용철현，단목전아국생산성복무업발전환존재지구불평형등문제。이용최소이승（OLS）모형，식별출경제개방정도、외상직접투자（FDI）화공업화수평삼대영향생산성복무업발전적인소，급기효응화작용정도。단시유우아국동중서삼대구역생산성복무업발전적차이，채용지리가권회귀（GWR）모형경능체현공간불평은성화국부특성。실증연구결과표명，GWR모형비OLS모형적의합정도경우，설명아국생산성복무업발전존재명현적구역불균형，3개인소대전국각성빈적영향정도야불진상동。총체래설，경제개방정도화FDI대중서부성빈적생산성복무업발전분별유경강적정향화부향작용，이공업화수평대동부성빈적생산성복무업유착경명현적부향영향。
With the development of service economy, the roles of producer services in economic development have been more and more important. But recently, there exits problems such as unbalanced development in various regions in the productive service enterprise in China. By the way of OLS （ordinary least squares）, we can recognize the effects and the effect degrees of three main factors that come from the degree of economic openness, FDI and industrialization. However, because of the difference of three main regions＇ producer services level of development, using the model of GWR （Geographically Weighted Regression） is more able to embody space instability and local quality. Empirical research manifests the model of GWR is better than the model of OLS, which indicates the existence of region unbalance during the development of producer services; and three different factors have different impacts on the development of producer services. In general, the degree of economic openness or FDI more stronger positive or negative influences to the development of the central and western provinces producer services, while industrialization is more evidently negative impacts on the eastern provinces.