经济理论与经济管理
經濟理論與經濟管理
경제이론여경제관리
Economic Theory and Business Management
2014年
1期
52~61
,共null页
农民工 特征工资模型 VSL 死亡风险
農民工 特徵工資模型 VSL 死亡風險
농민공 특정공자모형 VSL 사망풍험
rural migrants; hedonic model; the value of statistical life; fatality risk
本文在回顾国内外生命价值理论和实证的基础上,利用2009年和2012年上海农民工调查数据,采用特征工资模型对样本农民工的生命价值进行了估算,结果显示行业的伤亡风险对工资率有显著影响,改进模型比经典模型更适合生命价值的评估。基于改进模型得到的城镇农民工平均生命价值为936.56万元,比基于经典模型估算的结果要高,原因在于经典模型中遗漏了消费这一重要变量。对年龄分段进行回归分析发现,生命价值与年龄的关系呈倒U型,在46岁~50岁达到最大,并且消费显著提高了老年人的生命价值,其隐含的政策含义对于中国死亡赔偿、生产安全、环境和健康政策的效益评估具有重要的参考价值。
本文在迴顧國內外生命價值理論和實證的基礎上,利用2009年和2012年上海農民工調查數據,採用特徵工資模型對樣本農民工的生命價值進行瞭估算,結果顯示行業的傷亡風險對工資率有顯著影響,改進模型比經典模型更適閤生命價值的評估。基于改進模型得到的城鎮農民工平均生命價值為936.56萬元,比基于經典模型估算的結果要高,原因在于經典模型中遺漏瞭消費這一重要變量。對年齡分段進行迴歸分析髮現,生命價值與年齡的關繫呈倒U型,在46歲~50歲達到最大,併且消費顯著提高瞭老年人的生命價值,其隱含的政策含義對于中國死亡賠償、生產安全、環境和健康政策的效益評估具有重要的參攷價值。
본문재회고국내외생명개치이론화실증적기출상,이용2009년화2012년상해농민공조사수거,채용특정공자모형대양본농민공적생명개치진행료고산,결과현시행업적상망풍험대공자솔유현저영향,개진모형비경전모형경괄합생명개치적평고。기우개진모형득도적성진농민공평균생명개치위936.56만원,비기우경전모형고산적결과요고,원인재우경전모형중유루료소비저일중요변량。대년령분단진행회귀분석발현,생명개치여년령적관계정도U형,재46세~50세체도최대,병차소비현저제고료노년인적생명개치,기은함적정책함의대우중국사망배상、생산안전、배경화건강정책적효익평고구유중요적삼고개치。
Based on the review of theoretical and empirical of VSL, using the survey data of rural migrants between 2009 and 2012 in Shanghai, According to the Hedonic model, the paper estimates the val- ue of statistical life of rural migrants. Regression results show that the fatal risk of industry has a significant effect on wage rates, Improved model is better than classical model used to evaluate statistical value of life. the improved Hedonic model estimates the value of statistical is RMB 9.37 million, which is much higher than based on the classical model estimation results. The reason is that the consumption is an important variable which left out in the classical model. Regression with age group finds that the value of statistical life does not decline with age, the relation of them is inverted "U", peaks in one's 46 - 50, consumption improves the value of statistical life of older worker. The underlying policy implications for China's death compensation, production safety, environmental, and health policy of cost and benefit assessment has important reference value.