人口与发展
人口與髮展
인구여발전
Market & Demographic Analysis
2013年
6期
2~10
,共null页
农村养老保险体系 目标替代率 保基本 结构分析
農村養老保險體繫 目標替代率 保基本 結構分析
농촌양로보험체계 목표체대솔 보기본 결구분석
rural old- age insurance system;target replacement rate;meet basic needs;structural analysis
中国农村养老保险进一步完善的难点之一是确定合理的养老金给付水平.衡量养老金给付水平最核心的指标是养老金替代率.采用“社会平均替代率”概念,提出养老金目标替代率设为农民劳均收入的50%能够实现“保基本”的目标.现行农村社会养老金替代率约为8%,远低于目标替代率水平,农村养老保险体系中的土地保障、子女养老、社会救助发挥了重要作用,农民养老综合替代率达到32%~37%.未来随着社会养老金给付提高,综合替代率将在2030~ 2035年达到目标替代率水平,在2050年达到66%~68%.农村养老保险体系从以家庭养老为主向社会养老为主转变.
中國農村養老保險進一步完善的難點之一是確定閤理的養老金給付水平.衡量養老金給付水平最覈心的指標是養老金替代率.採用“社會平均替代率”概唸,提齣養老金目標替代率設為農民勞均收入的50%能夠實現“保基本”的目標.現行農村社會養老金替代率約為8%,遠低于目標替代率水平,農村養老保險體繫中的土地保障、子女養老、社會救助髮揮瞭重要作用,農民養老綜閤替代率達到32%~37%.未來隨著社會養老金給付提高,綜閤替代率將在2030~ 2035年達到目標替代率水平,在2050年達到66%~68%.農村養老保險體繫從以傢庭養老為主嚮社會養老為主轉變.
중국농촌양로보험진일보완선적난점지일시학정합리적양로금급부수평.형량양로금급부수평최핵심적지표시양로금체대솔.채용“사회평균체대솔”개념,제출양로금목표체대솔설위농민로균수입적50%능구실현“보기본”적목표.현행농촌사회양로금체대솔약위8%,원저우목표체대솔수평,농촌양로보험체계중적토지보장、자녀양로、사회구조발휘료중요작용,농민양로종합체대솔체도32%~37%.미래수착사회양로금급부제고,종합체대솔장재2030~ 2035년체도목표체대솔수평,재2050년체도66%~68%.농촌양로보험체계종이가정양로위주향사회양로위주전변.
One of difficulties of China' s rural old - age insurance system is that how to determine a reasonable pension payment level. The pension replacement rate is one of the most core indicators of measuring the pension payment level. In the paper, we adopt the notion of "social average replacement rate", and put forward the idea that the pension target replacement rate should be set for 50% Of farmers' per capital income, which can achieve the target of the "meet basic needs". The research shows that the current rural pension replacement rate is about 8% ,which is far below the target replacement rate revel. However,the land security, adult chil- dren support for the aged and social assistance play an important role in the rural old -age in- surance system, The rural old - age insurance system total replacement rate achieve the level from 32% to 37%. With the development of the pension payment level, the total replacement rate will reach the target replacement rate between 2030 and 2035 ,and will be 66% -68% in 2050. The transition from family - based support to social - based support will be a trend in the rural old -age insurance system.