河南科技大学学报:社会科学版
河南科技大學學報:社會科學版
하남과기대학학보:사회과학판
Journal of Henan University of Science & Technology:Social science
2014年
1期
84~90
,共null页
货币政策 区域效应 固定效应变系数 面板数据分位数回归
貨幣政策 區域效應 固定效應變繫數 麵闆數據分位數迴歸
화폐정책 구역효응 고정효응변계수 면판수거분위수회귀
monetary policy; regional effects; fixed effects model; quantile regression based on panel data modeling
基于我国28个省份2000-2012年的年度样本数据,运用面板分位数回归模型对我国货币政策在东中西部地区的效应进行检验,分析我国货币政策的即期效应和滞后性对各省经济发展的影响.结果显示:东中西部货币政策的区域效应较为明显.货币政策的即期效应对东部沿海省份冲击较大,对中西部省份冲击不太明显;而其滞后性对中部省份冲击较大,东部次之,西部最弱.建议疏通货币政策传导渠道,完善信贷供给,加快利率市场化等.
基于我國28箇省份2000-2012年的年度樣本數據,運用麵闆分位數迴歸模型對我國貨幣政策在東中西部地區的效應進行檢驗,分析我國貨幣政策的即期效應和滯後性對各省經濟髮展的影響.結果顯示:東中西部貨幣政策的區域效應較為明顯.貨幣政策的即期效應對東部沿海省份遲擊較大,對中西部省份遲擊不太明顯;而其滯後性對中部省份遲擊較大,東部次之,西部最弱.建議疏通貨幣政策傳導渠道,完善信貸供給,加快利率市場化等.
기우아국28개성빈2000-2012년적년도양본수거,운용면판분위수회귀모형대아국화폐정책재동중서부지구적효응진행검험,분석아국화폐정책적즉기효응화체후성대각성경제발전적영향.결과현시:동중서부화폐정책적구역효응교위명현.화폐정책적즉기효응대동부연해성빈충격교대,대중서부성빈충격불태명현;이기체후성대중부성빈충격교대,동부차지,서부최약.건의소통화폐정책전도거도,완선신대공급,가쾌리솔시장화등.
By adopting the fixed effects model and quantile regression in panel data modeling and based on the sample data from 2002 to 2012, this article analyze the spot effect and hysteresis effect of monetary policy in China. It indicates that the monetal-y policy in China does have an obvious regional effect. The monetary policy' s spot effect in eastern region is more stronger than the other regions, while its hysteresis effect is easy to affect the central region, followed by the eastern region and the western region the least. Therefore, the healthy development of the economy have been left starved for a monetary policy with regional difference moderately, a smooth transmission mechanism of monetray policy and a good finance circumstance.