地域研究与开发
地域研究與開髮
지역연구여개발
Areal Research and Development
2014年
1期
103~108
,共null页
李楠楠 介冬梅 刘洪妍 刘利丹 葛勇 郭梅娥 阳金秀 陈雪松
李楠楠 介鼕梅 劉洪妍 劉利丹 葛勇 郭梅娥 暘金秀 陳雪鬆
리남남 개동매 류홍연 류리단 갈용 곽매아 양금수 진설송
粮食安全 综合评价 层次分析法 河南省
糧食安全 綜閤評價 層次分析法 河南省
양식안전 종합평개 층차분석법 하남성
food security ; comprehensive evaluation ; AHP ; Henan Province
选取能够反映粮食安全状况的10个综合评价指标,利用层次分析法建立评价模型,对河南省18个城市2006-2011年粮食安全状况进行评价.结果表明:河南省各城市粮食安全状况差异较大;18个城市的粮食安全状况可分为稳定型、波动稳定型、波动上升型和波动下降型4种类型;针对河南省粮食安全地域分布不均衡以及粮食安全保障中遇到的问题,如耕地面积锐减,城市化进程加快引起的人口膨胀等,从区域经济发展、农田水利建设、耕地保护、农业基础设施建设以及粮食安全应急预案及应急系统等方面提出建议.
選取能夠反映糧食安全狀況的10箇綜閤評價指標,利用層次分析法建立評價模型,對河南省18箇城市2006-2011年糧食安全狀況進行評價.結果錶明:河南省各城市糧食安全狀況差異較大;18箇城市的糧食安全狀況可分為穩定型、波動穩定型、波動上升型和波動下降型4種類型;針對河南省糧食安全地域分佈不均衡以及糧食安全保障中遇到的問題,如耕地麵積銳減,城市化進程加快引起的人口膨脹等,從區域經濟髮展、農田水利建設、耕地保護、農業基礎設施建設以及糧食安全應急預案及應急繫統等方麵提齣建議.
선취능구반영양식안전상황적10개종합평개지표,이용층차분석법건립평개모형,대하남성18개성시2006-2011년양식안전상황진행평개.결과표명:하남성각성시양식안전상황차이교대;18개성시적양식안전상황가분위은정형、파동은정형、파동상승형화파동하강형4충류형;침대하남성양식안전지역분포불균형이급양식안전보장중우도적문제,여경지면적예감,성시화진정가쾌인기적인구팽창등,종구역경제발전、농전수리건설、경지보호、농업기출설시건설이급양식안전응급예안급응급계통등방면제출건의.
10 indexes were selected to reveal the comprehensive evaluation of food security in 18 provincial cities in Henan Province. A quantitative evaluation model based on analytical hierarchy process (AHP) is adopted to evaluate the status of food security of Henan Province from 2006 to 2011. Then the study confirms the type in dif- ferent cities. The results showed that the food security condition differs from city to city. 4 types of food security condition have been identified in 18 cities that is stable type, fluctuant stability type, fluetuant rising type and fluc- tuant decline type. To cope with the unbalanced distribution in different areas and the problem in food security such as the declined land resource, a population expand caused by urbanization and so on, the study put forward some suggestions to hand the challenge. Those include developing the regional economy, improving water conservancy fa- cilities, protecting the land resources and setting up the rural infrastructure and establishment of food warning sys- tem.