CAJ | 학술논문

要判断经济发展是否是可持续的，就要观察经济增长、能源消耗与环境保护的关系是否是动态协调的。因此就需要搞清楚经济增长、能源消耗与环境污染三者之间的相互关系。本文以经济欠发达的甘肃省为例，首先从协同度的角度研究了1985—2010年间经济-能源-环境三者之间的协调发展关系；然后利用向量自回归（VAR）模型进一步量化了三者之间的动态影响程度；得到了经济欠发达地区经济-能源-环境三者之间总体的协调趋势及三者的相互影响方向。
요판단경제발전시부시가지속적，취요관찰경제증장、능원소모여배경보호적관계시부시동태협조적。인차취수요고청초경제증장、능원소모여배경오염삼자지간적상호관계。본문이경제흠발체적감숙성위례，수선종협동도적각도연구료1985—2010년간경제-능원-배경삼자지간적협조발전관계；연후이용향량자회귀（VAR）모형진일보양화료삼자지간적동태영향정도；득도료경제흠발체지구경제-능원-배경삼자지간총체적협조추세급삼자적상호영향방향。
The dynamic interaction between economic growth,energy consumption and environmental protection is a standard to judge whether economic development is sustainable or not. Therefore,it is necessary to make clear the interaction between economic growth, energy consumption and environmental pollution. With Gansu, an underde- velopment province as an example, this paper first studies the harmonious development relationship of economy, en- ergy and environment from the angle of cooperation in 1985 - 2010, then further makes a quantification of the dynamic impact of these three factors and finally comes to the general coordinative tendency of economy, energy and environment in underdeveloped areas as well as their mutual interaction direction.