CAJ | 학술논문

世界经济发展一般规律表明，经济高增长往往与工业高比重相伴而生，遭遇“技术升级陷阱”是陷入“中等收入陷阱”的重要内因，产业国际分工地位由低级向高级阶段转换面临不同跨度跳跃。我国工业比重显著高于国际一般规律，工业高增长出现回落趋势，工业结构向高加工度和技术密集化升级受到明显抑制，国际分工地位低端锁定风险逐步加大。未来我国工业发展将进入次高增长阶段，工业比重趋势性下降的可能性增加，工业结构变化日益接近“技术升级陷阱”，国际分工地位面临不进则退的重要关口。我国向高等收入国家迈进需解决好工业比重过快下降问题．工业发展的动力机制面临阶段性转换。
세계경제발전일반규률표명，경제고증장왕왕여공업고비중상반이생，조우“기술승급함정”시함입“중등수입함정”적중요내인，산업국제분공지위유저급향고급계단전환면림불동과도도약。아국공업비중현저고우국제일반규률，공업고증장출현회락추세，공업결구향고가공도화기술밀집화승급수도명현억제，국제분공지위저단쇄정풍험축보가대。미래아국공업발전장진입차고증장계단，공업비중추세성하강적가능성증가，공업결구변화일익접근“기술승급함정”，국제분공지위면림불진칙퇴적중요관구。아국향고등수입국가매진수해결호공업비중과쾌하강문제．공업발전적동력궤제면림계단성전환。
The general law of World economic development confirms that firstly higher economic growth often associates with the higher industrial proportion in economy. Secondly, to fall into ＂technology trap＂ is important cause to drop into ＂middle-income trap＂ for many middle-income countries. Thirdly industry status in international labor division from lower stage to higher stage faces different span jump. In China, proportion of industry has always been significantly higher than international law. Industrial upgrading to high processing and technology-intensive industrial structure has been significantly inhibited.International status of indust~ is difficult to improve. In the future, high-growth of industry in China will end, and proportion of indust~ in economy maybe decline step by step. Industry will face ＂technology trap＂ and barriers of improving international status. Above all, to become the higher income country needs to avoid rapid decline of industrial position in the economy. Therefore, the dynamic mechanism of industrial development could chanze as soon as oossible.