CAJ | 학술논문

文章基于住宅价格变动中产业结构变迁影响及其内在机理的视角，通过构建产业结构合理化与高级化的理论测度，利用2002—2011年中国内地30个省区的面板数据，实证检验了产业结构变迁对住宅价格变动的影响。研究结果表明：产业结构合理化对住宅价格有显著正向影响，产业结构高级化也显著推动住宅价格上涨；在样本时期内，产业结构变迁对全国住宅价格上涨的贡献率为13．45％；产业结构合理化、高级化对住宅价格的影响呈现明显的区域差异，两者对东部、中部、西部住宅价格的影响效应依次递减；银行信贷、土地价格推高住宅价格，利率调整对房价的调控作用基本失效，人口规模、人均收入水平对住宅价格的影响因地区与时间而异。
문장기우주택개격변동중산업결구변천영향급기내재궤리적시각，통과구건산업결구합이화여고급화적이론측도，이용2002—2011년중국내지30개성구적면판수거，실증검험료산업결구변천대주택개격변동적영향。연구결과표명：산업결구합이화대주택개격유현저정향영향，산업결구고급화야현저추동주택개격상창；재양본시기내，산업결구변천대전국주택개격상창적공헌솔위13．45％；산업결구합이화、고급화대주택개격적영향정현명현적구역차이，량자대동부、중부、서부주택개격적영향효응의차체감；은행신대、토지개격추고주택개격，리솔조정대방개적조공작용기본실효，인구규모、인균수입수평대주택개격적영향인지구여시간이이。
Based on the effects and inherent mechanism of industrial structure change in the process of changes in housing prices, this paper uses the panel data of 30 provinces in the Chinese mainland from 2002 to 2011 to empirically analyze the effects of industrial structure change on changes in housing prices by the construction of theoretical measurement of ra- tionalization and upgrading of industrial structure. It comes to the results as follows： firstly, the rationalization of industrial structure has significantly positive effect on housing prices, and the upgrading of industrial structure also obviously pushes up housing prices; secondly,during the sample period, industrial structure change makes a 13.45~//00 contribution to the in- crease in national housing prices; thirdly, the effects of rationalization and upgrading of in- dustrial structure on housing prices differ widely in regions, and the effects are in descending order in eastern, central and western China; fourthly, bank credit and land prices push up housing prices, and the adjustment to interest rates makes a basic failure on the control of housing prices, while the effects of population scale and income per capita vary with regions and time.