财经研究
財經研究
재경연구
The Study of Finance and Economics
2014年
3期
94~103
,共null页
梁璐璐 赵胜民 田昕明 罗金峰
樑璐璐 趙勝民 田昕明 囉金峰
량로로 조성민 전흔명 라금봉
宏观审慎政策 货币政策 有效性
宏觀審慎政策 貨幣政策 有效性
굉관심신정책 화폐정책 유효성
macro-prudential policy; monetary policy; effectiveness
文章在动态随机一般均衡(DSGE)框架下,通过将宏观审慎政策工具贷款价值比动态化,以及引入对家庭和企业进行区别调控的思想,探讨了4种政策组合下主要宏观经济变量的动态变化。结果表明:(1)在传统冲击下,宏观审慎政策不会影响货币政策的目标;在非传统冲击下,遵循泰勒规则的货币政策与宏观审慎政策相互配合,对于通胀目标还起到一定的保护作用。(2)宏观审慎政策会改变各部门的资产配置,从而部分改变经济体的格局,但不会对经济体的总体运行状态产生结构性影响,因而具有中立性特征。
文章在動態隨機一般均衡(DSGE)框架下,通過將宏觀審慎政策工具貸款價值比動態化,以及引入對傢庭和企業進行區彆調控的思想,探討瞭4種政策組閤下主要宏觀經濟變量的動態變化。結果錶明:(1)在傳統遲擊下,宏觀審慎政策不會影響貨幣政策的目標;在非傳統遲擊下,遵循泰勒規則的貨幣政策與宏觀審慎政策相互配閤,對于通脹目標還起到一定的保護作用。(2)宏觀審慎政策會改變各部門的資產配置,從而部分改變經濟體的格跼,但不會對經濟體的總體運行狀態產生結構性影響,因而具有中立性特徵。
문장재동태수궤일반균형(DSGE)광가하,통과장굉관심신정책공구대관개치비동태화,이급인입대가정화기업진행구별조공적사상,탐토료4충정책조합하주요굉관경제변량적동태변화。결과표명:(1)재전통충격하,굉관심신정책불회영향화폐정책적목표;재비전통충격하,준순태륵규칙적화폐정책여굉관심신정책상호배합,대우통창목표환기도일정적보호작용。(2)굉관심신정책회개변각부문적자산배치,종이부분개변경제체적격국,단불회대경제체적총체운행상태산생결구성영향,인이구유중립성특정。
Under a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium framework, this paper dis- cusses the dynamic changes in main macroeconomic variables under four policy combinations by the construction of dynamic loan-to-value ratio as a macro-prudential policy instrument and the introduction of the idea about differentiated control of families and firms. It comes to the following conclusions, firstly, macro-prudential policy has no effects on the target of monetary policy under traditional shocks, and the combination of monetary policy obeying the Taylor rule and macro-prudential policy plays a protective role in inflation target under untraditional shocks; secondly, macro-prudential policy can change capital allocation in sec- tors, thereby partially changing a pattern of the economy, but has no structural effects on the whole operation condition of the economy, so it is featured by neutrality.