CAJ | 학술논문

文章以浙江省69个县域单元为研究对象，利用非参数核密度估计和探索性空间数据分析方法，采用1991-2011年县域人均国内生产总值数据，定量揭示浙江省县域经济发展的时空演变差异、空间相关性及其演化趋势。结论显示：浙江省县域经济发展水平整体提高的同时，县域经济发展差异逐渐加剧；全局自相关分析显示浙江省县域经济发展存在显著空间自相关性，并且表现出典型的高高集聚与低低集聚空间分布类型；局域自相关分析表明浙东北县域经济发展水平显著高于浙西南地区，整体上呈现明显的城乡二元空间经济结构，高高集聚与低低集聚对全省县域经济发展空间格局演化贡献程度最高。
문장이절강성69개현역단원위연구대상，이용비삼수핵밀도고계화탐색성공간수거분석방법，채용1991-2011년현역인균국내생산총치수거，정량게시절강성현역경제발전적시공연변차이、공간상관성급기연화추세。결론현시：절강성현역경제발전수평정체제고적동시，현역경제발전차이축점가극；전국자상관분석현시절강성현역경제발전존재현저공간자상관성，병차표현출전형적고고집취여저저집취공간분포류형；국역자상관분석표명절동북현역경제발전수평현저고우절서남지구，정체상정현명현적성향이원공간경제결구，고고집취여저저집취대전성현역경제발전공간격국연화공헌정도최고。
Using non-parametric kernel density estimation method and exploratory spatial data analysis method,the paper re-veals quantitatively spatial-temporal disparities,spatial correlation,and its evolution trend of economic development at coun-ty-level in Zhejiang Province based on the data of per capita GDP of 69 counties during the year of 1991 to 2011. The results show that,when the overall level of economic development at county-level is improved in Zhejiang Province,the disparities of economic development are gradually increasing accordingly. Global auto-correlation analysis shows that the economic develop-ment at county-level is closely related to spatial auto-correlation in Zhejiang Province,and represents typical spatial distribu-tion type of high-high agglomeration and low-low agglomeration. Local auto-correlation analysis indicates that the level of eco-nomic development at county-level in northeast Zhejiang is significantly higher than that in southwest province, it appears a clear urban-rural dual economic structure as a whole. The high-high agglomeration and low-low agglomeration make the great-est contribution to the evolution of spatial pattern of economic development at county-level in the province.