CAJ | 학술논문

金融抑制导致了国内资本市场的分割，由此对经济产生了两方面的影响，易得到金融资源的部门会受益于金融抑制政策，而难以得到金融资源部门的发展受到抑制。老龄化降低了要素供给，国民经济尤其是难以得到金融资源部门的发展将受到负面影响，由此提高了金融抑制的成本，加强了进行金融改革的动机。本文从人口年龄结构角度来对金融抑制进行分析，研究发现，如果老年抚养比提高一个百分点，那么金融抑制程度将会下降0．02，与金融抑制指标的均值相比，下降了4．99％。对于中国而言，在中、低死亡率方案下，2020年老年抚养比的提高将使金融抑制程度分别下降0．12和0．16。
금융억제도치료국내자본시장적분할，유차대경제산생료량방면적영향，역득도금융자원적부문회수익우금융억제정책，이난이득도금융자원부문적발전수도억제。노령화강저료요소공급，국민경제우기시난이득도금융자원부문적발전장수도부면영향，유차제고료금융억제적성본，가강료진행금융개혁적동궤。본문종인구년령결구각도래대금융억제진행분석，연구발현，여과노년무양비제고일개백분점，나요금융억제정도장회하강0．02，여금융억제지표적균치상비，하강료4．99％。대우중국이언，재중、저사망솔방안하，2020년노년무양비적제고장사금융억제정도분별하강0．12화0．16。
Financial repression leads to the segmentation of the capital market. There are two aspects of finan- cial repression influence. Firstly, the department with channel to the financial resource benefits from the finan- cial repression. Secondly, the department which could not obtain the financial resource easily damages from the financial repression. Ageing lowers clown the factor supply, which has a negative impact on the national econo- my, especially the department without channel to the financial resource. As a result, the cost of financial re- pression increases. Moreover, the motive of financial reform reinforces. The paper investigates the financial re- pression from the perspective of demographic structure. The result reveals that the increase of one percent in aged dependency ratio decreases the financial repression index 0.02. In China, the increase of aged dependen- cy ratio in 2020 cause the decline of financial repression index O. 12 under medium mortality scheme and O. 16 under low mortality scheme.