贵州财经大学学报
貴州財經大學學報
귀주재경대학학보
Journal of Guizhou College of Finance and Economics
2014年
2期
1~7
,共null页
消费率 居民消费低估 居住消费重估 经济增长
消費率 居民消費低估 居住消費重估 經濟增長
소비솔 거민소비저고 거주소비중고 경제증장
consumption rate;household consumption underestimated; re -estimation housing consumption; economic growth
中国的消费率,特别是居民消费率长期不高,并在近十年逐年走低.通过国际比较研究发现,中国居民消费率被低估.究其原因,是投资中的漏出部分流向了私人,以及居民收入的低估,更多是因为对服务业的统计不健全,对住房等自有商品定价过低,企业支付与企事业单位福利对个人社会化消费的替代,加之住户调查技术性低估等造成的.通过对基于市场价格的自有住房等效租金的重新估算,发现调整后的居住消费支出占比GDP达到了14％,高于统计年鉴中的6％,仅自有住房等效租金的重新调整就提高了5到6个百分点的居民消费率.
中國的消費率,特彆是居民消費率長期不高,併在近十年逐年走低.通過國際比較研究髮現,中國居民消費率被低估.究其原因,是投資中的漏齣部分流嚮瞭私人,以及居民收入的低估,更多是因為對服務業的統計不健全,對住房等自有商品定價過低,企業支付與企事業單位福利對箇人社會化消費的替代,加之住戶調查技術性低估等造成的.通過對基于市場價格的自有住房等效租金的重新估算,髮現調整後的居住消費支齣佔比GDP達到瞭14％,高于統計年鑒中的6％,僅自有住房等效租金的重新調整就提高瞭5到6箇百分點的居民消費率.
중국적소비솔,특별시거민소비솔장기불고,병재근십년축년주저.통과국제비교연구발현,중국거민소비솔피저고.구기원인,시투자중적루출부분류향료사인,이급거민수입적저고,경다시인위대복무업적통계불건전,대주방등자유상품정개과저,기업지부여기사업단위복리대개인사회화소비적체대,가지주호조사기술성저고등조성적.통과대기우시장개격적자유주방등효조금적중신고산,발현조정후적거주소비지출점비GDP체도료14％,고우통계년감중적6％,부자유주방등효조금적중신조정취제고료5도6개백분점적거민소비솔.
China＇ s consumption rate is widely believed to be too low. In this paper, we makes a comparion in the world wide, and we show that official statistics have significantly underestimated Chinese household consumption. First, the servive comumption is significantly underestimate; Second, housing consumption is grossly underestimated due to the construction cost - based method. Third, a lot of private consumption is paid for by companies but can＇ t be accounted for in official statistics. Fourth, high - income households are underrepresented in the household surveys. Our re - estimation suggests that the rate of China＇ s housing consumption is more than 14% of GDP, considerably higher than the official 6% of GDP.
