CAJ | 학술논문

首先运用推拉理论从理论上分析哪些因素影响农民工定居地选择意愿,然后利用河南省汝州市187个外出打工农民样本数据,运用Logistic模型分析方法,进行实证检验.结果显示,农民工收入越高和年龄越小越倾向于在打工城市定居;外地人子女入学受歧视和老家经营的耕地面积大,倾向于回农村老家定居;打工城市为省会城市、直辖市和中心镇与对照组地级市或县城比较,在打工城市定居的意愿会下降;打工城市位于东部或是西部地区较对照组中部地区比较,在打工城市定居的意愿也会下降.最后,提出了相关建议.
수선운용추랍이론종이론상분석나사인소영향농민공정거지선택의원,연후이용하남성여주시187개외출타공농민양본수거,운용Logistic모형분석방법,진행실증검험.결과현시,농민공수입월고화년령월소월경향우재타공성시정거;외지인자녀입학수기시화로가경영적경지면적대,경향우회농촌로가정거;타공성시위성회성시、직할시화중심진여대조조지급시혹현성비교,재타공성시정거적의원회하강;타공성시위우동부혹시서부지구교대조조중부지구비교,재타공성시정거적의원야회하강.최후,제출료상관건의.
This paper using push-pull theory to analyze that what will influence employed farmers＇ want of where to settle, and then use of 187 sample data of employed farmers from Ruzhou City He＇ nan Province and Logistic model method to em- pirical test. The results show that, the higher income and younger employed farmers, more inclined to settle in the city; if outsider＇ s children admission is discriminated and larger the cultivated area in rural home, more likely to settle back to his rural home ; if they work in capital cities, municipalities and town, the willing to settle in the work city will decline com- pared with work in the prefecture-level city or county; if work in eastern or western cities as compared with the control group, the central regions, the willingness to settle in the city will fall. Finally put forward some suggestions.