财经科学
財經科學
재경과학
Finance and Economics
2014年
4期
72~81
,共null页
消费需求 宏观调控 有效性 形成要素 要素效应
消費需求 宏觀調控 有效性 形成要素 要素效應
소비수구 굉관조공 유효성 형성요소 요소효응
Consumer Demand; Macro- Regulation; Effectiveness; Forming Factor; Factor Effect
消费需求宏观调控的有效性在于以居民消费总需求的形成要素为调控对象,以各形成要素的影响效应为制定调控政策的依据.基于假定条件的理论推导表明,一定时期一国或地区居民消费总需求的大小是其国民收入、国民收入分配、居民收入分配及居民消费倾向要素综合作用的结果.要素效应的实证分析表明,近年来,我国国民收入的快速增长极大地拉动了居民消费总需求增长,国民收入分配、居民收入分配及居民消费倾向在很大程度上抑制了居民消费总需求的增长,因而,我国长期以来以国民收入增长为导向的扩大内需政策对消费需求的调控作用难以达到预期效果.
消費需求宏觀調控的有效性在于以居民消費總需求的形成要素為調控對象,以各形成要素的影響效應為製定調控政策的依據.基于假定條件的理論推導錶明,一定時期一國或地區居民消費總需求的大小是其國民收入、國民收入分配、居民收入分配及居民消費傾嚮要素綜閤作用的結果.要素效應的實證分析錶明,近年來,我國國民收入的快速增長極大地拉動瞭居民消費總需求增長,國民收入分配、居民收入分配及居民消費傾嚮在很大程度上抑製瞭居民消費總需求的增長,因而,我國長期以來以國民收入增長為導嚮的擴大內需政策對消費需求的調控作用難以達到預期效果.
소비수구굉관조공적유효성재우이거민소비총수구적형성요소위조공대상,이각형성요소적영향효응위제정조공정책적의거.기우가정조건적이론추도표명,일정시기일국혹지구거민소비총수구적대소시기국민수입、국민수입분배、거민수입분배급거민소비경향요소종합작용적결과.요소효응적실증분석표명,근년래,아국국민수입적쾌속증장겁대지랍동료거민소비총수구증장,국민수입분배、거민수입분배급거민소비경향재흔대정도상억제료거민소비총수구적증장,인이,아국장기이래이국민수입증장위도향적확대내수정책대소비수구적조공작용난이체도예기효과.
The macro regulation validity of consumer demand lies in choosing the forming factors of total consumption demand as the control objects and according to the forming factor effects to making regulatory policies. The mathematical deducting result shows that the forming factors of total consumption demand include national income, national income distribution, resident income distribution, and resident consumption tendency. The empirical analysis of factor effects show that , in recent years, the rapid growth of china's national income has greatly promoted the growth of total consumption demand, and national income distribution, resident income dis- tribution and resident consumption tendency largely inhibited the growth of total consumption demand, There- fore, china's policies of expanding domestic demand are difficult to achieve the desired effect on the total con- sumption demand since they only selected the gro~h of national income as the macro regulation direction in the very long tenn.