CAJ | 학술논문

文章在经典农户行为理论的基础上引入产权制度变量，对我国林业制度变迁的最优路径及其中短期影响因素进行了理论分析。结论证明，最优的林权制度变迁过程是强制性还是诱致性取决于林业自身的生产要素积累程度。长期来看，林业制度更倾向于多元化经营与家庭经营。可以证明，理论结论与我国林业产权制度变迁的历史过程是一致的，并得出了林业制度变迁理论结论对于我国的意义及若干启示。
문장재경전농호행위이론적기출상인입산권제도변량，대아국임업제도변천적최우로경급기중단기영향인소진행료이론분석。결론증명，최우적림권제도변천과정시강제성환시유치성취결우임업자신적생산요소적루정도。장기래간，임업제도경경향우다원화경영여가정경영。가이증명，이론결론여아국임업산권제도변천적역사과정시일치적，병득출료임업제도변천이론결론대우아국적의의급약간계시。
This paper introduces the variables of property rights to the classic model which describes behaviors of farmers. It makes a theoretical analysis on the optimal path and its medium and short-term impact on China＆#39;s forestry institutional changes.The conclusion shows that it is the marginal productivity of the factors of production which decides the process of in-stitutional changes： coercive or induced institutional change. In the long term, the forestry institution will tend to diversifica-tion mode and family mode. It can be proved that the theoretical conclusion is consistent with the history of China’s forest-ry institutional changes. Finally, it explains the meanings and enlightenments of the theory of forestry institutional changes.