科技和产业
科技和產業
과기화산업
SCIENCE TECHNOLOGY AND INDUSTRIAL
2014年
3期
132~136
,共null页
物价波动 工资水平 外汇汇率 流通中货币 协整检验
物價波動 工資水平 外彙彙率 流通中貨幣 協整檢驗
물개파동 공자수평 외회회솔 류통중화폐 협정검험
the price fluctuation;the salary;the foreign exchange rate;the liquidity;the co-integration test
协整检验得到的研究结论表明：1952年至2011年，工资水平、外汇汇率和流通中货币三者依次均与物价水平正相关；工资水平、外汇汇率和流通中货币三者对物价水平的弹性系数均具有区间性；工资水平每变动1％，物价水平随之变动0．22507％至0．29074％，外汇汇率每变动1％，物价水平随之变动0．19114％至0．25596％，流通中货币每变动1％，物价水平随之变动0．04231％至0．07284％；从工资水平、外汇汇率和流通中货币三者对物价水平影响程度的60年长期视角来看，推动我国物价上涨的主要因素是工资水平和外；r-汇率，而流通中货币对我国物价上涨的影响相对较小。
協整檢驗得到的研究結論錶明：1952年至2011年，工資水平、外彙彙率和流通中貨幣三者依次均與物價水平正相關；工資水平、外彙彙率和流通中貨幣三者對物價水平的彈性繫數均具有區間性；工資水平每變動1％，物價水平隨之變動0．22507％至0．29074％，外彙彙率每變動1％，物價水平隨之變動0．19114％至0．25596％，流通中貨幣每變動1％，物價水平隨之變動0．04231％至0．07284％；從工資水平、外彙彙率和流通中貨幣三者對物價水平影響程度的60年長期視角來看，推動我國物價上漲的主要因素是工資水平和外；r-彙率，而流通中貨幣對我國物價上漲的影響相對較小。
협정검험득도적연구결론표명：1952년지2011년，공자수평、외회회솔화류통중화폐삼자의차균여물개수평정상관；공자수평、외회회솔화류통중화폐삼자대물개수평적탄성계수균구유구간성；공자수평매변동1％，물개수평수지변동0．22507％지0．29074％，외회회솔매변동1％，물개수평수지변동0．19114％지0．25596％，류통중화폐매변동1％，물개수평수지변동0．04231％지0．07284％；종공자수평、외회회솔화류통중화폐삼자대물개수평영향정도적60년장기시각래간，추동아국물개상창적주요인소시공자수평화외；r-회솔，이류통중화폐대아국물개상창적영향상대교소。
The conclusions of the co-integration test showed that： from 1952 to 2011, it was positively between price fluctuation and wage level, foreign exchange rates and currency in circulation; the elastic coefficients of the three factors on price fluctuation had interval; the wage level for each 1 % changed, the price level changed from 0. 225 07% to 0. 290 74 %, the exchange rate changed every 1%, price level changed from 0. 191 14% to 0. 255 96 %, currency in circulation changed every 1%, price level changed from 0. 04Z 31% to 0. 072 84 % ; from the view of the 60-year long term perspective of the three factors＇ effects on price fluctuation, the wage level and the foreign exchange rates were the main factors of price rising, and the currency in circulation on the impact of Chings inflation was relatively small.
