人口与发展
人口與髮展
인구여발전
Market & Demographic Analysis
2014年
1期
22~32
,共null页
卫生支出 人口数量增长 人口结构转变 健康模式变化 非人口学因素
衛生支齣 人口數量增長 人口結構轉變 健康模式變化 非人口學因素
위생지출 인구수량증장 인구결구전변 건강모식변화 비인구학인소
health care expenditure; population growth; population structure; health patternchange ; non - demographic factor
采用因素分解方法考察中国卫生支出在过去近30年的增长特点,将卫生总费用增长及卫生总费用占GDP比重的变化,分解为人口数量增长、人口结构变动、健康模式变化和非人口学因素影响四个独立可比的部分.结果显示,尽管非人口学因素决定着卫生总费用增长,人口学因素却主导着卫生总费用占GDP比重的变化.人口学因素中,人口总量缓慢增长和人口结构快速转变推动着卫生支出规模不断上升,但健康模式变化显著削弱了这种趋势.
採用因素分解方法攷察中國衛生支齣在過去近30年的增長特點,將衛生總費用增長及衛生總費用佔GDP比重的變化,分解為人口數量增長、人口結構變動、健康模式變化和非人口學因素影響四箇獨立可比的部分.結果顯示,儘管非人口學因素決定著衛生總費用增長,人口學因素卻主導著衛生總費用佔GDP比重的變化.人口學因素中,人口總量緩慢增長和人口結構快速轉變推動著衛生支齣規模不斷上升,但健康模式變化顯著削弱瞭這種趨勢.
채용인소분해방법고찰중국위생지출재과거근30년적증장특점,장위생총비용증장급위생총비용점GDP비중적변화,분해위인구수량증장、인구결구변동、건강모식변화화비인구학인소영향사개독립가비적부분.결과현시,진관비인구학인소결정착위생총비용증장,인구학인소각주도착위생총비용점GDP비중적변화.인구학인소중,인구총량완만증장화인구결구쾌속전변추동착위생지출규모불단상승,단건강모식변화현저삭약료저충추세.
China＇ s health care expenditure has been increasing sharply during the tast zu years, albeit at different rate in different times. Using factor decomposition model, the paper firstly decomposes health care expenditure growth and the ratio variation of health care expendi- ture to GDP into four comparable parts：total population growth,population structure transition, health pattern change and non - demographic factor. It＇ s found that while demographic factor has a lower impact on health care expenditure than non - demographic factor, it has a greater impact on the ratio variation of health care expenditure to GDP. While total population growth and population structure transition are strongly pushing the health care expenditure to increase, health pattern change is greatly weakening this trend.
