CAJ | 학술논문

摘要：本文使用中国的分省面板数据来考察贸易开放与经济增长的关系，集中于考察贸易流量的变化对经济增长的影响，并重点关注开放度的内生性问题。本文使用不同的模型设定——静态和动态面板模型，以及不同的工具变量策略——外部工具变量、滞后期工具变量以及动态模型设定时的内部工具变量组合，来控制开放度的内生性问题。运用中国30个省、自治区、直辖市（重庆市除外）1999—2010年的面板数据来考察贸易开放度（贸易流量）与经济增长的关系，结果表明对外开放对于省区经济增长具有显著的正向作用。同时，本文的结果具有稳健性。
적요：본문사용중국적분성면판수거래고찰무역개방여경제증장적관계，집중우고찰무역류량적변화대경제증장적영향，병중점관주개방도적내생성문제。본문사용불동적모형설정——정태화동태면판모형，이급불동적공구변량책략——외부공구변량、체후기공구변량이급동태모형설정시적내부공구변량조합，래공제개방도적내생성문제。운용중국30개성、자치구、직할시（중경시제외）1999—2010년적면판수거래고찰무역개방도（무역류량）여경제증장적관계，결과표명대외개방대우성구경제증장구유현저적정향작용。동시，본문적결과구유은건성。
Using China＇ s provincial panel data, this paper investigates the re- lationship between the trade openness and economic growth with a particular fo- cus on the impact of changes in trade flows tion is paid to the endogeneity of economic on economic growth. Special atten- openness in the paper. To control the endogeneity of openness, this study adopts varied model settings including static and dynamic panel models and applies different instrumental variable strate- gies including the external instrumental variable and the lagged explanatory vari- able and a combination of internal instrumental variables set in the dynamic mod- el. A panel of data of 30 provinces in China from 1999 to 2010 is constructed to examine the relationship between trade openness （trade flows） and economic growth. The empirical results show that China＇ s opening up strategy has signifi- cant positive effects on provincial economic growth. The results in this paper are robust.