CAJ | 학술논문

分析了河北省城镇化与经济发展的关系：根据河北省1990-2012年时间序列样本构建向量自回归模型,用以度量城镇化与经济发展之间的动态关系;在此基础之上,使用脉冲相应函数和方差分解技术对河北省城镇化与经济发展之间的关联机制进行系统分析.研究结果表明：对于河北省的经济发展来讲,城镇化对其有积极的推动作用,而经济发展对城镇化水平提升所起的作用还十分有限.最后,依据以上研究结果,提出了河北省新型城镇化建设的对策建议.
분석료하북성성진화여경제발전적관계：근거하북성1990-2012년시간서렬양본구건향량자회귀모형,용이도량성진화여경제발전지간적동태관계;재차기출지상,사용맥충상응함수화방차분해기술대하북성성진화여경제발전지간적관련궤제진행계통분석.연구결과표명：대우하북성적경제발전래강,성진화대기유적겁적추동작용,이경제발전대성진화수평제승소기적작용환십분유한.최후,의거이상연구결과,제출료하북성신형성진화건설적대책건의.
The paper analyzes the relation between urbanization and economic development in Hebei province. Based on the data of urbanization rate and per capita GDP from 1990 to 2012 in Hebei province, it builds vector auto-regression model （VAR） reflecting the relation between urbanization and economic development. Then, it analyzes relation mechanism between them with impulse response functions and variance decomposition. The results show that the levels of urbanization have positive effects on economic development, but inverse effects are not obvious at present stage. At last, based on the above findings, it puts forward the countermeasures of construction of new urbanization in Hebei prov- ince.