CAJ | 학술논문

本文构建了-个环境规制影响宏观经济的内在逻辑框架,在此基础上将环境规制冲击引入动态随机-般均衡模型,探讨环境规制对中国宏观经济的动态影响.实证结果表明：建立在“波特假说冶基础上的模拟经济能够较好地模拟实际经济特征,环境规制对产出、消费、投资和资本存量具有长期正向效应,对就业、物价、生产成本和工资收入具有长期负向效应,且在对各宏观变量变化的贡献中,环境规制发挥了主要作用.技术进步、政府支出和劳动供给对宏观经济的冲击与已有研究较为-致,但与环境规制相比,三种冲击对宏观经济的影响仅为中短期效应.
본문구건료-개배경규제영향굉관경제적내재라집광가,재차기출상장배경규제충격인입동태수궤-반균형모형,탐토배경규제대중국굉관경제적동태영향.실증결과표명：건립재“파특가설야기출상적모의경제능구교호지모의실제경제특정,배경규제대산출、소비、투자화자본존량구유장기정향효응,대취업、물개、생산성본화공자수입구유장기부향효응,차재대각굉관변량변화적공헌중,배경규제발휘료주요작용.기술진보、정부지출화노동공급대굉관경제적충격여이유연구교위-치,단여배경규제상비,삼충충격대굉관경제적영향부위중단기효응.
The paper set up a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model including environmental regulationwhich used data simulation method to study the dynamic impact of environmental regulation influence on macro-e-conomy in China based on an inherent logic frame of environmental regulation affecting macro-economy. Empiri-cal findings show that ： the simulation economy based on Porter＇s hypothesis can batter simulate real economy,environmental regulation has positive shock for output, consumption, investment and capital stock in the longterm, and has negative shock for employment, price, output cost and wage in the long term, environmental regu-lation play an important action of contribution for macro variables. The impact of technical progress, governmentexpenditures and labor supply is the same with existent research, but three shocks have mid-term and short-termimpact.