CAJ | 학술논문

为了考察贸易隐含能源在全球范围内的流动情况，本文运用投入产出分析方法．采用GTAP8．0数据库，从隐含能源的视角对全球能源消费结构重新进行了解剖。结果显示，2007年国际贸易隐含能源约3983Mtoe，占当年世界能源总消耗的34％；基于贸易隐含能源的视角，中国不再是能源净进口国，2007年中国隐含能源净出口量约为514Mtoe，在所有国家中最高；相比生产端核算原则，基于消费者统计口径，中国和印度能源消费分别下降25％和11％，美国和日本能源消费分别增长9％和17％。本文的结果显示，在世界能源消费重心东移的背景下，亚太地区直接能源净进口量中的53％会以贸易隐含能源的形式再次净出口至欧洲和北美地区。
위료고찰무역은함능원재전구범위내적류동정황，본문운용투입산출분석방법．채용GTAP8．0수거고，종은함능원적시각대전구능원소비결구중신진행료해부。결과현시，2007년국제무역은함능원약3983Mtoe，점당년세계능원총소모적34％；기우무역은함능원적시각，중국불재시능원정진구국，2007년중국은함능원정출구량약위514Mtoe，재소유국가중최고；상비생산단핵산원칙，기우소비자통계구경，중국화인도능원소비분별하강25％화11％，미국화일본능원소비분별증장9％화17％。본문적결과현시，재세계능원소비중심동이적배경하，아태지구직접능원정진구량중적53％회이무역은함능원적형식재차정출구지구주화북미지구。
To investigate the circulation of embodied energy in trade against the globalization background, this paper uses an input-output approach to re-de- compose the global energy consumption structure based on the GTAP 8.0 data- base. The research results indicate that the energy embodied in international trade is 3983 Mtoe （million tons of oil equivalents） in 2007, accounting for 34% of to- tal global energy consumption that year. From the perspective of embodied ener- gy in trade, China is the largest exporter of embodied energy, with an embodied volume of 514 Mtoe. Compared to production-based accounting, the energy con- sumption of China and India will decrease respectively by 25% and 11% in con- sumption-based accounting, while that for the US and Japan will increase respec- tively by 9% and 17%. This paper also finds that although the Asia-Pacific domi- nates the global energy consumption in recent years, nearly 53% of the net di- rect energy imports of the Asia-Pacific will be transferred to the European Union and the North America.