CAJ | 학술논문

提升出口产品技术结构是我国对外贸易发展的重要方向，本文以国际比较为视角，对中国出口产品技术结构变迁的趋势和特征进行了分析，并对技术结构变迁的影响因素进行了实证研究。从变化趋势看，与其他国家相比，中国出口产品技术结构在样本期得以较快改善，但2005年以后出现稳定的趋势。中国出口产品技术结构提升主要得益于电子信息产业出口比重的提高，而汽车与工程机械等产业贡献较小。国际面板数据实证表明，相较于其他国家，经济全球化对中国出口产品技术结构提升的作用显著大于其他发展中国家和发达国家，说明中国出口产品结构的改善主要得益于经济全球化这一外生因素，这一方面说明中国在利用经济全球化改善产业和贸易结构上的成功，但是另一方面随着经济全球化深化速度的减缓和信息通讯产业的成熟，中国贸易结构可能缺乏稳步改善的动力，因此发挥内生因素对推动中国出口技术结构改善的作用将是今后的政策重点。
제승출구산품기술결구시아국대외무역발전적중요방향，본문이국제비교위시각，대중국출구산품기술결구변천적추세화특정진행료분석，병대기술결구변천적영향인소진행료실증연구。종변화추세간，여기타국가상비，중국출구산품기술결구재양본기득이교쾌개선，단2005년이후출현은정적추세。중국출구산품기술결구제승주요득익우전자신식산업출구비중적제고，이기차여공정궤계등산업공헌교소。국제면판수거실증표명，상교우기타국가，경제전구화대중국출구산품기술결구제승적작용현저대우기타발전중국가화발체국가，설명중국출구산품결구적개선주요득익우경제전구화저일외생인소，저일방면설명중국재이용경제전구화개선산업화무역결구상적성공，단시령일방면수착경제전구화심화속도적감완화신식통신산업적성숙，중국무역결구가능결핍은보개선적동력，인차발휘내생인소대추동중국출구기술결구개선적작용장시금후적정책중점。
It is an important direction of China＇s foreign trade development to upgrade the export technology structure. Based on the international comparative perspective, the paper analyzes the changes and features of China export technology structure, and studies empirically the factors that influence the evolution of technology structure. The trend shows, compared with other countries, Chinese export technology structure improves rapidly in the sample period, but after 2005 it shows a stable trend. China export technology structure improvement is mainly due to the rise in export share of the electronic ＆ information industry exports and the automobile and engineering machinery industries have little contribution. The international panel data analysis shows that, compared with other countries, China befits more from the economic globalization to promote the ex- port technology structure than other developing countries and developed countries. It shows China export technology structure improvement is mainly due to the economic globalization, an exogenous factor. This shows that the China succeeds in using e- conomic globalization to improve industrial and trade structure, but on the other hand, with the slowdown of economic global- ization deepening and the mature of ICT industry, China may lack the impetus for steady improvement of trade structure, therefore it should be a policy focus to let endogenous factors play roles in promoting future export technology structure.