CAJ | 학술논문

本文基于1999~2010年的统计数据对内地与香港服务业产业内贸易的水平、结构、变化及其影响因素进行了实证分析。研究发现：两地服务业产业内贸易的总体水平多数年份超过0.75,以MIIT指数衡量的两地服务贸易的增长总体上是产业内贸易型的。分部门看,＂其他服务＂、＂运输服务＂、＂旅游服务＂、＂保险服务＂产业内贸易水平较高,但＂金融服务＂、＂商贸服务＂产业内贸易水平低;大部分服务部门的产业内贸易水平在CEPA签订后有明显上升。运输、保险、其他服务的增长是产业内贸易型的;旅游部门有点特殊,其MIIT指数与平均产业内贸易指数不相关,说明CEPA签署对两地旅游业的影响不对等,香港方面受益更多。人均收入水平差异、服务业规模经济以及货物贸易与两地服务部门的产业内贸易水平显著正相关;两地服务部门FDI以及对外开放程度与两地服务部门的产业内贸易水平负相关。
본문기우1999~2010년적통계수거대내지여향항복무업산업내무역적수평、결구、변화급기영향인소진행료실증분석。연구발현：량지복무업산업내무역적총체수평다수년빈초과0.75,이MIIT지수형량적량지복무무역적증장총체상시산업내무역형적。분부문간,＂기타복무＂、＂운수복무＂、＂여유복무＂、＂보험복무＂산업내무역수평교고,단＂금융복무＂、＂상무복무＂산업내무역수평저;대부분복무부문적산업내무역수평재CEPA첨정후유명현상승。운수、보험、기타복무적증장시산업내무역형적;여유부문유점특수,기MIIT지수여평균산업내무역지수불상관,설명CEPA첨서대량지여유업적영향불대등,향항방면수익경다。인균수입수평차이、복무업규모경제이급화물무역여량지복무부문적산업내무역수평현저정상관;량지복무부문FDI이급대외개방정도여량지복무부문적산업내무역수평부상관。
Based on the data of 1999-2010, the paper analyzes empirically intra-industry trade level, structure, change and its influencing factors in service areas between Mainland and Hong Kong. The study shows that the general level of intra-industry trade of bilateral service trade is high. Among these, the level of intra-industry trade in ＂other services, transportation services, tourism services, insurance services＂ is high and that of financial services and business and trade service is low. After the signing of CEPA, the level of intra-industry trade in most service sections is increasing, but tourism section is special. Regression analysis indicates a significant positive correlation between difference in per capita income, economies of scale in service industry and goods trades and level of intra-industry trade of bilateral service trade. However, there exists negative relation between FDI in service industry, degree of opening and intra-industry trade in services.