中国人口资源与环境
中國人口資源與環境
중국인구자원여배경
China Polulation.Resources and Environment
2014年
5期
145~152
,共null页
刘承良 段德忠 余瑞林 王涛
劉承良 段德忠 餘瑞林 王濤
류승량 단덕충 여서림 왕도
耦合作用 时空结构 ERE复合系统 武汉城市圈
耦閤作用 時空結構 ERE複閤繫統 武漢城市圈
우합작용 시공결구 ERE복합계통 무한성시권
coupling effect; spatio-temporal structure ; ERE composite system ; Wuhan Metropolitan Area
建立都市圈社会经济-资源-环境系统(ERE)评价指标体系,构建系列ERE耦合作用模型。系统揭示武汉城市圈ERE复合系统耦合作用的时空规律:①时间演化上,ERE复合系统耦合度和协调度波动变化明显。耦合度发展曲线为S型.呈动态螺旋上升趋势:协调度呈剧烈波动变化态势;协调发展度增长迅猛,整体呈直线上升态势;整个ERE复合系统内部或要素之间不断交互作用.与外界环境不断进行熵流交换,呈现一开放的、渐变与突变、自组织与他组织相互交织演替的递嬗过程,发展函数上表现为-动态的螺旋上升曲线。是一个开放的复杂巨系统。②空间分异上,ERE系统耦合度呈“串形”等级规模结构,空间集聚性明显。形成两大空间板块:协调度呈“纺锤形”等级规模分布,空间呈一定弱集聚效应和相关作用。形成两个高值区、多个中值区和两个低值区;社会经济-资源-环境系统空间分异明显.等级规模结构失衡呈“纺锤形”、“串字形”等不均衡态势。③区域类型上。耦合作用强度和协调程度空间不对称。形成磨合良好协调、磨合濒临失调、拮抗优质协调、拮抗良好协调、拮抗中级协调、拮抗初级协调、拮抗勉强协调七大区域类型。
建立都市圈社會經濟-資源-環境繫統(ERE)評價指標體繫,構建繫列ERE耦閤作用模型。繫統揭示武漢城市圈ERE複閤繫統耦閤作用的時空規律:①時間縯化上,ERE複閤繫統耦閤度和協調度波動變化明顯。耦閤度髮展麯線為S型.呈動態螺鏇上升趨勢:協調度呈劇烈波動變化態勢;協調髮展度增長迅猛,整體呈直線上升態勢;整箇ERE複閤繫統內部或要素之間不斷交互作用.與外界環境不斷進行熵流交換,呈現一開放的、漸變與突變、自組織與他組織相互交織縯替的遞嬗過程,髮展函數上錶現為-動態的螺鏇上升麯線。是一箇開放的複雜巨繫統。②空間分異上,ERE繫統耦閤度呈“串形”等級規模結構,空間集聚性明顯。形成兩大空間闆塊:協調度呈“紡錘形”等級規模分佈,空間呈一定弱集聚效應和相關作用。形成兩箇高值區、多箇中值區和兩箇低值區;社會經濟-資源-環境繫統空間分異明顯.等級規模結構失衡呈“紡錘形”、“串字形”等不均衡態勢。③區域類型上。耦閤作用彊度和協調程度空間不對稱。形成磨閤良好協調、磨閤瀕臨失調、拮抗優質協調、拮抗良好協調、拮抗中級協調、拮抗初級協調、拮抗勉彊協調七大區域類型。
건립도시권사회경제-자원-배경계통(ERE)평개지표체계,구건계렬ERE우합작용모형。계통게시무한성시권ERE복합계통우합작용적시공규률:①시간연화상,ERE복합계통우합도화협조도파동변화명현。우합도발전곡선위S형.정동태라선상승추세:협조도정극렬파동변화태세;협조발전도증장신맹,정체정직선상승태세;정개ERE복합계통내부혹요소지간불단교호작용.여외계배경불단진행적류교환,정현일개방적、점변여돌변、자조직여타조직상호교직연체적체선과정,발전함수상표현위-동태적라선상승곡선。시일개개방적복잡거계통。②공간분이상,ERE계통우합도정“천형”등급규모결구,공간집취성명현。형성량대공간판괴:협조도정“방추형”등급규모분포,공간정일정약집취효응화상관작용。형성량개고치구、다개중치구화량개저치구;사회경제-자원-배경계통공간분이명현.등급규모결구실형정“방추형”、“천자형”등불균형태세。③구역류형상。우합작용강도화협조정도공간불대칭。형성마합량호협조、마합빈림실조、길항우질협조、길항량호협조、길항중급협조、길항초급협조、길항면강협조칠대구역류형。
Since the reform and Opening-up China' s economy construction has made a great achievement . However, with the development of the economy on a large scale and high speed, China' s resources and environmental problem is increasingly outstanding, and the social and economic sustainable development is facing more severe tests. Under the unprecedented huge population pressure and unprecedented resources and environmental constraints, China is facing the most serious ecological destruction, environmental pollution and energy resources of multiple challenges. From the overall situation, Wuhan Metropolitan Area is in the important stage of the development of industrialization and urbanization, the rapid economic growth is at the cost of large amount of energy resources consumption. Pollutant emission is still large, and industries with high energy consumption and polluting are growing rapidly. Wuhan Metropolitan Area is an intensive areas of heavy industry and chemical industry, contingent resources are very scarce, especially the three cities ot Wuhan, Huangshi and Ezhou. This three cities are the old industrial bases, and the proportion of secondary industry is larger, So they not only have a high degree of dependence on energy and resources, but also the negative impact on the environment is also a great. This paper creates an evaluation index system of economy, resources and environment. At the same time this article builds an ERE coupling model, in order to reveal the temporal and spatial law of the ERE composited system in Wuhan Metropolitan Area. The economic, resources and environmental system is through interaction, forming a more complex, uncertainly, and adaptive ERE system: (1)From the perspective of time evolution, the coupling and coordination degree of the ERE system fluctuates significantly, showing a dynamically spiral upward trend in S-type. Besides the coupling degree can be divided into three stages: rise slowly, drop slowly and rise fast; the coordination degree can be divided into: rise fast, stand still, severe concussion, wave rise; the coordinatcd development degree is in a rapid growth, which can be split into fast rise, fast setback, and straight up. (2) From the perspective of spatial disparity, by the effect of inter-city socio-economic development, resources and environmental conditions, historical basis, policy and institutional mechanisms, the economy-resources-environment system is significantly different in spatial distribution. The coordination degree shows a ' string' rating scale structure, and the spatial concentration is obvious. The whole area can be divided into two big plates ; and the coupling shows a ' spindle' rating scale structure, and the whole space demonstrates a weak combined effect and interaction, forming two high-value areas, some median areas and two low-value areas. (3)From the perspective of area type, coupling intensity and coordination degree in space are asymmetrical, and the Wuhan Metropolitan area can be divided into seven types.