CAJ | 학술논문

以教育年限和成本法分别核算出我国1982 ～2011年间人力资本水平,运用ESDA描绘了31个省区“经济增长—人力资本”的空间分布特征,并进行了全域及局域空间相关性检验,随后构建了空间Lu-cas模型,通过面板回归分析了人力资本对经济增长的空间外溢作用,尔后核算出各省区人力资本空间集聚对经济增长的贡献率.我国省域间人力资本与经济增长在地理空间上呈现出显著的集聚态势,且存在强烈的全域空间相关性,但局域间存在差异性,同时从总体上看,相邻省区人力资本对本省经济增长具有显著的正向溢出效应.
이교육년한화성본법분별핵산출아국1982 ～2011년간인력자본수평,운용ESDA묘회료31개성구“경제증장—인력자본”적공간분포특정,병진행료전역급국역공간상관성검험,수후구건료공간Lu-cas모형,통과면판회귀분석료인력자본대경제증장적공간외일작용,이후핵산출각성구인력자본공간집취대경제증장적공헌솔.아국성역간인력자본여경제증장재지리공간상정현출현저적집취태세,차존재강렬적전역공간상관성,단국역간존재차이성,동시종총체상간,상린성구인력자본대본성경제증장구유현저적정향일출효응.
The article constructs the level of human capital in China from 1982 to 2011 by the method of ＂year of education＂ and ＂cost of education＂. Based on the ESDA, we describe the feature of spatial distribution of economic growth - human capital of 31 provinces in China. Then the article makes global and local spatial correlation inspection, constructs extensible spatial Lucas model, analyzes the spatial spillover effects on human capital in Chinese provinces by regression method, and accounts the contribution of human capital to economic growth. The results show that there exists significantly concentration on the geographic space and positive global spatial correlation between the two, but there exists local heterogeneity of spatial distribution. At the same time, the human capital of contiguous provinces has significantly positive spatial spillover effects on the economic growth of the province on the whole.