人口与发展
人口與髮展
인구여발전
Market & Demographic Analysis
2014年
2期
53~66
,共null页
生育政策 单独 战略研究
生育政策 單獨 戰略研究
생육정책 단독 전략연구
family planning;2 -child policy for only -child parent; strategic research
生育政策对人口发展具有先导性、递延性,生育政策通过调控出生人口,渐次影响人口发展全局.须在科学预判人口发展趋势的基础上,不同时期制定不同导向的生育政策.通过测算表明,放开“双独”、“单独”、“全面二孩”等生育政策,分别有占总人口4.1％、18.8％、24.0％的人群获益.应遵循“公平性、时机性、渐进性、均衡性”的原则,逐步完善生育政策.
生育政策對人口髮展具有先導性、遞延性,生育政策通過調控齣生人口,漸次影響人口髮展全跼.鬚在科學預判人口髮展趨勢的基礎上,不同時期製定不同導嚮的生育政策.通過測算錶明,放開“雙獨”、“單獨”、“全麵二孩”等生育政策,分彆有佔總人口4.1％、18.8％、24.0％的人群穫益.應遵循“公平性、時機性、漸進性、均衡性”的原則,逐步完善生育政策.
생육정책대인구발전구유선도성、체연성,생육정책통과조공출생인구,점차영향인구발전전국.수재과학예판인구발전추세적기출상,불동시기제정불동도향적생육정책.통과측산표명,방개“쌍독”、“단독”、“전면이해”등생육정책,분별유점총인구4.1％、18.8％、24.0％적인군획익.응준순“공평성、시궤성、점진성、균형성”적원칙,축보완선생육정책.
This study considers thatfamily planningpolicyhas the character of guiding and deferring, and family planning policy has influenced population development through birth control, it shall be in the base of predicting population trends to make different orientation in different pe riods of policy ; research calculation shows that the implementation of 2 child policy for ＂only childof both parents＂, ＂only childof the One parents＂,＂ all parents＂ is Respectivelybeneficial to 4.1% ,18.8%, 24.0% of the total population;we should follow theprincipleof faimess,tim ing,progressiveness,balancement, and gradually improve thefamily planning policy.
