经济与管理
經濟與管理
경제여관리
Economy and Management
2014年
3期
16~21
,共null页
农户 动态贫困 有序 Logit模型
農戶 動態貧睏 有序 Logit模型
농호 동태빈곤 유서 Logit모형
Farmer; Dynamic poverty; The ordered logit model
动态贫困研究是从中长期考察家庭贫困状态,关注家庭贫困状态的脆弱性与发展演变。采用CHNS家庭微观数据,通过对我国农户动态贫困的研究发现:男性户主、年轻户主、人口规模较大、低入力资本、人均使用耕地面积越多的家庭,在一段时间内多次贫困发生概率较大;此外,我国农户动态贫困还表现出较强的区位特性。减贫政策应该从以下四方面改进:一是细分农村贫困人口类型,实施有针对性的扶贫政策;二是建立贫困家庭教育技能补贴制度;三是帮扶贫困地区开展非农或高附加值农业经济;四是建立有区域特征的扶贫开发机制。
動態貧睏研究是從中長期攷察傢庭貧睏狀態,關註傢庭貧睏狀態的脆弱性與髮展縯變。採用CHNS傢庭微觀數據,通過對我國農戶動態貧睏的研究髮現:男性戶主、年輕戶主、人口規模較大、低入力資本、人均使用耕地麵積越多的傢庭,在一段時間內多次貧睏髮生概率較大;此外,我國農戶動態貧睏還錶現齣較彊的區位特性。減貧政策應該從以下四方麵改進:一是細分農村貧睏人口類型,實施有針對性的扶貧政策;二是建立貧睏傢庭教育技能補貼製度;三是幫扶貧睏地區開展非農或高附加值農業經濟;四是建立有區域特徵的扶貧開髮機製。
동태빈곤연구시종중장기고찰가정빈곤상태,관주가정빈곤상태적취약성여발전연변。채용CHNS가정미관수거,통과대아국농호동태빈곤적연구발현:남성호주、년경호주、인구규모교대、저입력자본、인균사용경지면적월다적가정,재일단시간내다차빈곤발생개솔교대;차외,아국농호동태빈곤환표현출교강적구위특성。감빈정책응해종이하사방면개진:일시세분농촌빈곤인구류형,실시유침대성적부빈정책;이시건립빈곤가정교육기능보첩제도;삼시방부빈곤지구개전비농혹고부가치농업경제;사시건립유구역특정적부빈개발궤제。
Dynamic study on poverty is from long-term survey of family poverty and focuses on the family poverty vulnerabili- ty and development. Using the CHNS family of micro data, through the study of poor Chinese farmers dynamic, we find that male head of household, young householder, larger population size, low human capital, the per capita arable land is more and families over a period of many poor is probability larger; In addition, China's household poverty dynamics also show the loca- tion characteristics of strong. Therefore, poverty reduction policies should be improved from the following four aspects: One is the subdivision of rural poverty population type, the implementation of targeted poverty alleviation policy; Two is the establish- ment of poor family education subsidy system; Three is helping the poor areas to develop agricultural economy and non-agricul- tural or high value; Four is the establishment of a mechanism for regional characteristics of poverty alleviation and development.