CAJ | 학술논문

笔者在对现有假设及环境要素化理论的不足进行深入分析后,提出和基于“正环境产出”假设、界定了环境商品概念及特性,并运用林达尔均衡分析和基于方向距离的生产评价理论,从水平、结构和动态效率三个维度,提出了社会生产环境友好性评价指标集.进而,以我国2020年目标“环境-经济”产出为前沿配置,采用扩展Malmquist指数分析方法和引入产业结构效应变量的多元超对数回归模型,对2005年～2020年间我国及美欧俄印社会生产的环境友好性程度及效率进行了评价和比较,认为我国“环境-经济”产出及效率与国际先进水平差距在迅速缩小,调整方向正确,但仍显著且不够均衡.
필자재대현유가설급배경요소화이론적불족진행심입분석후,제출화기우“정배경산출”가설、계정료배경상품개념급특성,병운용림체이균형분석화기우방향거리적생산평개이론,종수평、결구화동태효솔삼개유도,제출료사회생산배경우호성평개지표집.진이,이아국2020년목표“배경-경제”산출위전연배치,채용확전Malmquist지수분석방법화인입산업결구효응변량적다원초대수회귀모형,대2005년～2020년간아국급미구아인사회생산적배경우호성정도급효솔진행료평개화비교,인위아국“배경-경제”산출급효솔여국제선진수평차거재신속축소,조정방향정학,단잉현저차불구균형.
The standpoint of present environmental economics is based on negative expected production assumption, which emphasizes on production induced pollution and its negative externality, irrespectively of the value of existing environmental resources and its con- servation. After clarifying shortcomings of prevailing theories, this paper innovatively defines ＂positive＂ environmental output as total pollutants abatement with respect to actual emission of base period, incorporates the environmental stock into environment production efforts, redefines the scope and implication of environmental commodity and its features. Further, by Lindale equilibrium analysis and directional distance based production evaluation method, a novel series of aggregate indicators for evaluating environment amicableness of social production are proposed with detailed discussion. In empirical analysis, given carbon abatement and GDP growth target in 2020 as realistic production frontier, social environment-economy productivity is evaluated with normalized aggregate data series be- tween 2005 and 2020, in which positive environmental output is given as compared to environmental output and GDP in 2005 while effi- ciency evaluation by extended Malmquist indices calculation. By international comparison with US, EU, Russia and India, certain differences are discussed in details between these countries and China for policy implication about social production adjustment of Chi- na. Complementally, by a multivariate trans-log regression model that incorporates industrial structure effect, it is reinforced that envi- ronment-friendly social production adjustment of China is in accord ance with development strategies of referred leading economies. So- cial productivity and its efficiency gaps between China and developed economies are shrinking significantly, while economic output-bi- ased development in China will continue in certain period. Finally, policy implications are given about practical strategies of social pro- duction adjustment towards environmental amicableness.