CAJ | 학술논문

作为快速交通流线的主要形式，高速铁路建设能有效拓展区域人口流动空间、增强区域联系度。本研究以沪宁城际高速铁路为例，基于宏观经济联系及问卷调查，通过构建经济联系强度模型、人口流动空间联系指数以及产业人口联系指数，定量分析城际高速铁路建设对区域人口流动空间的影响。探讨沪宁地区“一轴双核”经济结构运行机理。研究发现：①沪宁城际高速铁路建设有效拓宽了城市间人口流动时空，缩短了区域经济距离，以南京市和上海市为核心的人口、产业以及经济空间集聚效应明显。宁镇扬（南京、镇江、扬州）和苏锡常（苏州、无锡、常州）一体化程度增加。并且上海市与苏锡常地区相互联系增强。人口、产业、经济发展均质化程度提高；②高速铁路建成后，南京及上海周边地区呈现人口集聚的极核效应，上海与苏州、无锡与常州、南京与镇江的人口流动联系强度加强，高速铁路沿线区域“一轴双核”空间发展特征明显。经济一体化趋势加快；③沪宁城际高速铁路建成后。沿线居民出行频次增加，尤其是20—44岁之间的有较高职业声望的青壮年劳动力流动频次增加显著，这种微观变化一方面表征了区域经济联系度的增加，另一方面体现了区域人力资本之间的融合与相互依赖。是经济一体化的内在表现形式；④高速铁路服务水平、舒适度、准时性、高效性等是居民选择乘坐高速铁路的主要影响因子，居民出行及相互交流更注重实效；⑤结合区域产业分工与人口集聚。上海、南京的批发和零售业、文化、体育和娱乐业等，镇江市的信息传输、计算机服务和软件业等的产业人口流动趋势指数为正值。这些产业人口的流动是区域人口集聚的主要因素；同时苏州、无锡的制造业、常州的金融业等产业人口流动趋势指数为负值，从而导致这些城市人口呈现扩散趋势。作為快速交通流線的主要形式，高速鐵路建設能有效拓展區域人口流動空間、增彊區域聯繫度。本研究以滬寧城際高速鐵路為例，基于宏觀經濟聯繫及問捲調查，通過構建經濟聯繫彊度模型、人口流動空間聯繫指數以及產業人口聯繫指數，定量分析城際高速鐵路建設對區域人口流動空間的影響。探討滬寧地區“一軸雙覈”經濟結構運行機理。研究髮現：①滬寧城際高速鐵路建設有效拓寬瞭城市間人口流動時空，縮短瞭區域經濟距離，以南京市和上海市為覈心的人口、產業以及經濟空間集聚效應明顯。寧鎮颺（南京、鎮江、颺州）和囌錫常（囌州、無錫、常州）一體化程度增加。併且上海市與囌錫常地區相互聯繫增彊。人口、產業、經濟髮展均質化程度提高；②高速鐵路建成後，南京及上海週邊地區呈現人口集聚的極覈效應，上海與囌州、無錫與常州、南京與鎮江的人口流動聯繫彊度加彊，高速鐵路沿線區域“一軸雙覈”空間髮展特徵明顯。經濟一體化趨勢加快；③滬寧城際高速鐵路建成後。沿線居民齣行頻次增加，尤其是20—44歲之間的有較高職業聲望的青壯年勞動力流動頻次增加顯著，這種微觀變化一方麵錶徵瞭區域經濟聯繫度的增加，另一方麵體現瞭區域人力資本之間的融閤與相互依賴。是經濟一體化的內在錶現形式；④高速鐵路服務水平、舒適度、準時性、高效性等是居民選擇乘坐高速鐵路的主要影響因子，居民齣行及相互交流更註重實效；⑤結閤區域產業分工與人口集聚。上海、南京的批髮和零售業、文化、體育和娛樂業等，鎮江市的信息傳輸、計算機服務和軟件業等的產業人口流動趨勢指數為正值。這些產業人口的流動是區域人口集聚的主要因素；同時囌州、無錫的製造業、常州的金融業等產業人口流動趨勢指數為負值，從而導緻這些城市人口呈現擴散趨勢。
작위쾌속교통류선적주요형식，고속철로건설능유효탁전구역인구류동공간、증강구역련계도。본연구이호저성제고속철로위례，기우굉관경제련계급문권조사，통과구건경제련계강도모형、인구류동공간련계지수이급산업인구련계지수，정량분석성제고속철로건설대구역인구류동공간적영향。탐토호저지구“일축쌍핵”경제결구운행궤리。연구발현：①호저성제고속철로건설유효탁관료성시간인구류동시공，축단료구역경제거리，이남경시화상해시위핵심적인구、산업이급경제공간집취효응명현。저진양（남경、진강、양주）화소석상（소주、무석、상주）일체화정도증가。병차상해시여소석상지구상호련계증강。인구、산업、경제발전균질화정도제고；②고속철로건성후，남경급상해주변지구정현인구집취적겁핵효응，상해여소주、무석여상주、남경여진강적인구류동련계강도가강，고속철로연선구역“일축쌍핵”공간발전특정명현。경제일체화추세가쾌；③호저성제고속철로건성후。연선거민출행빈차증가，우기시20—44세지간적유교고직업성망적청장년노동력류동빈차증가현저，저충미관변화일방면표정료구역경제련계도적증가，령일방면체현료구역인력자본지간적융합여상호의뢰。시경제일체화적내재표현형식；④고속철로복무수평、서괄도、준시성、고효성등시거민선택승좌고속철로적주요영향인자，거민출행급상호교류경주중실효；⑤결합구역산업분공여인구집취。상해、남경적비발화령수업、문화、체육화오악업등，진강시적신식전수、계산궤복무화연건업등적산업인구류동추세지수위정치。저사산업인구적류동시구역인구집취적주요인소；동시소주、무석적제조업、상주적금융업등산업인구류동추세지수위부치，종이도치저사성시인구정현확산추세。
As the main form of rapid traffic streamline, high-speed railway （HSR） can effectively expand regional population space of flow and strengthen the regional connection. Based on the interviews and questionnaires from the passengers of high-speed rail, this paper analyzes the intercity space of flows and the spatial integration indicated by the individual micro behavior choice, discusses Shanghai-Nanjing ＂one axis dual-core＂ running mechanism of the economic structure by building economic relation force model, population space of flow contact index and space contact of industrial population index. The findings include ： ①Not only does Shanghai-Nanjing intercity high-speed railway effectively broaden space and time of population flow between cities, but also shorten the distance of the regional economy. Population, industry, and economy present spatial agglomeration in Shanghai and Nanjing. The level of integration in regions of Ning-Zhen-Yang and Su-Xi-Chang increase, meanwhile the linkages between Shanghai and region of Su-Xi-Chang are strengthened, as the degree of homogenization in population, industry, and economy development increases. ② The surroundings of Nanjing and Shanghai present polar nuclei of population agglomeration effect. The contact of population flow is strengthened between Shanghai and Suzhou, Wuxi and Changzhou, Nanjing and Zhenjiang, therefore the trend of urban integration becomes evident. At the same time it presents ＂one axis dual-core＂ space development characteristics in the region along high-speed railway,and economic integration trend becomes obvious. ③ After the Shanghai-Nanjing intercity high-speed railway has been completed, the frequency of people travel increases, especially those young adults between ages 20 to 44 and with a higher occupational prestige. It indicates the regional economic connection is strengthened and regional human capital is of interdependence and fusion. ④ The service level,comfort, punctuality, high efficiency, etc are main factors that influence the residents choose high speed railway to have a trip. ⑤Combined with the regional industry division of labor and population agglomeration, it discovers that the trend index of population flow in industries of wholesale and retail industries, culture, sports and entertainment in Shanghai and Nanjing, information transmission, computer services and software industry in Zhenjiang is positive. The population flow in those industries is the main factor of regional population agglomeration. Simultaneously the trend index of population flow in industry of manufacturing industry and finance in Suzhou and Wuxi is negative, leading to the urban population showed a trend of diffusion.