南开经济研究
南開經濟研究
남개경제연구
Nankai Economic Studies
2014年
2期
3~29
,共null页
劳动收入份额 劳资分配 经济增长 工资拉动增长 有效需求
勞動收入份額 勞資分配 經濟增長 工資拉動增長 有效需求
노동수입빈액 로자분배 경제증장 공자랍동증장 유효수구
Labor Share ; Labor-capital Growth; Effective Demand Distribution ; Economic Growth ; Wage-led
本文对不同学派有关劳资分配和经济增长关系的理论思想进行了比较性的梳理与评析,批评了当前主流经济学相关理论的重要不足,并主张使用Bhaduri-Marglin模型作为研究此类问题的理论基础。随后笔者通过构建计量经济模型,并分析1978—2012年的时间序列数据,对我国劳动收入份额影响经济增长率的情况展开了实证研究。结果表明,现阶段我国呈现“工资拉动增长”的类型,劳动收入份额提高对消费需求增长率的促进作用明显超过它对投资和净出口增长率的抑制作用,因而总体上会促进经济增长.公平与效率的目标相容。要实现“扩内需、稳增长、调结构”,关键在于建立一套有助于提升劳动收入份额的制度体系和调控手段。
本文對不同學派有關勞資分配和經濟增長關繫的理論思想進行瞭比較性的梳理與評析,批評瞭噹前主流經濟學相關理論的重要不足,併主張使用Bhaduri-Marglin模型作為研究此類問題的理論基礎。隨後筆者通過構建計量經濟模型,併分析1978—2012年的時間序列數據,對我國勞動收入份額影響經濟增長率的情況展開瞭實證研究。結果錶明,現階段我國呈現“工資拉動增長”的類型,勞動收入份額提高對消費需求增長率的促進作用明顯超過它對投資和淨齣口增長率的抑製作用,因而總體上會促進經濟增長.公平與效率的目標相容。要實現“擴內需、穩增長、調結構”,關鍵在于建立一套有助于提升勞動收入份額的製度體繫和調控手段。
본문대불동학파유관로자분배화경제증장관계적이론사상진행료비교성적소리여평석,비평료당전주류경제학상관이론적중요불족,병주장사용Bhaduri-Marglin모형작위연구차류문제적이론기출。수후필자통과구건계량경제모형,병분석1978—2012년적시간서렬수거,대아국노동수입빈액영향경제증장솔적정황전개료실증연구。결과표명,현계단아국정현“공자랍동증장”적류형,노동수입빈액제고대소비수구증장솔적촉진작용명현초과타대투자화정출구증장솔적억제작용,인이총체상회촉진경제증장.공평여효솔적목표상용。요실현“확내수、은증장、조결구”,관건재우건립일투유조우제승노동수입빈액적제도체계화조공수단。
The paper makes a comparative review and evaluation of the theories about the relationships between labor-capital distribution and economic growth of different schools along the history of economic thoughts, and then criticizes the mainstream theories and suggests using Bhaduri-Marglin model as the theoretical basis for the relevant research. Later, by formulating the econometric model and analyzing time series data from 1978 to 2012, the paper makes an empirical research into the impact of labor share on economic growth in China. It finds that the positive effect of labor share on consumption demand growth is much more than its negative effect on investment and net export growth, so that growth in China is wage-led at present, which means increasing labor share promotes growth, and the goals of equality and efficiency supports each other. The key to 'Stabilizing Growth, Expanding Domestic Demand and Optimizing Structure' is to establishing a set of pro-labor institutions and regulation tools.