CAJ | 학술논문

本文运用地理加权回归模型，对我国31个省市区1987-2011年外资时空演变及其影响因素进行了分析。结果表明：我国外资大致分为东中西三大区域和三大时期，每个时期每个地区外资区位优势均有不同。地理优势对东中部影响较大，但随时间推移逐步减弱；政策因素的影响力也在逐年降低，对中西部的影响较为显著；而综合经济因素则在第二和第三阶段影响巨大，是我国外资空间格局演变的重要推动力。
본문운용지리가권회귀모형，대아국31개성시구1987-2011년외자시공연변급기영향인소진행료분석。결과표명：아국외자대치분위동중서삼대구역화삼대시기，매개시기매개지구외자구위우세균유불동。지리우세대동중부영향교대，단수시간추이축보감약；정책인소적영향력야재축년강저，대중서부적영향교위현저；이종합경제인소칙재제이화제삼계단영향거대，시아국외자공간격국연변적중요추동력。
The location advantage directly determines the attraction for foreign enterprises and direct investment. Existing studies focused on the static and global analysis rather than dynamic transfers and spatial heterogeneity. This paper, however, aims at identifying the spatiotemporal characteristics of foreign direct investment and the varied determinants by applying a geographically weighted regression model using data cover 31 provinces in China from 1987-2011. The results show that the development of foreign direct investment in China can be roughly classified into 3 periods and 3 regions （western, central and eastern regions）. Strong spatial and temporal differences accompanied by dynamic changes are detected. Geographical factors have greater impacts on the eastern and central regions, but the impacts are gradually weakened with time. The influence of policies which is more significant on the central and western regions falls year by year. Having been the main impetus for the evolution of spatial pattern of FDI, the overall economic factors played important roles in the second and the third period of foreign investment rush in China. To conclude, China should keep its foreign investment related strategies in pace with the times and suit its measures to local conditions of instable regional comparative advantages.