经济经纬
經濟經緯
경제경위
Economic Survey
2014年
4期
56~61
,共null页
文化贸易 经济增长 方差分解
文化貿易 經濟增長 方差分解
문화무역 경제증장 방차분해
Cultural Trade; Economic Growth; Variance Decomposition
进入21世纪，文化与经济紧密融合，文化贸易作为新的国际贸易形态成为国际贸易的重要组成部分。笔者根据1992年-2011年的相关数据，分析了中国文化贸易出口、进口对经济增长的影响。结果表明：中国文化贸易出口和进口与经济增长之间存在协整关系，文化贸易出口给经济增长带来同向的冲击，文化贸易进口给经济增长带来反向的冲击；文化贸易出口对经济增长的影响远大于进口对经济增长的影响。通过与货物贸易、服务贸易、文化贸易出口对经济增长影响的比较分析，得出结论：我国文化贸易出口对经济增长的拉动作用很弱。
進入21世紀，文化與經濟緊密融閤，文化貿易作為新的國際貿易形態成為國際貿易的重要組成部分。筆者根據1992年-2011年的相關數據，分析瞭中國文化貿易齣口、進口對經濟增長的影響。結果錶明：中國文化貿易齣口和進口與經濟增長之間存在協整關繫，文化貿易齣口給經濟增長帶來同嚮的遲擊，文化貿易進口給經濟增長帶來反嚮的遲擊；文化貿易齣口對經濟增長的影響遠大于進口對經濟增長的影響。通過與貨物貿易、服務貿易、文化貿易齣口對經濟增長影響的比較分析，得齣結論：我國文化貿易齣口對經濟增長的拉動作用很弱。
진입21세기，문화여경제긴밀융합，문화무역작위신적국제무역형태성위국제무역적중요조성부분。필자근거1992년-2011년적상관수거，분석료중국문화무역출구、진구대경제증장적영향。결과표명：중국문화무역출구화진구여경제증장지간존재협정관계，문화무역출구급경제증장대래동향적충격，문화무역진구급경제증장대래반향적충격；문화무역출구대경제증장적영향원대우진구대경제증장적영향。통과여화물무역、복무무역、문화무역출구대경제증장영향적비교분석，득출결론：아국문화무역출구대경제증장적랍동작용흔약。
In the twenty-first century, culture and economy integrate closely. As a new form of international trade, cultural trade has become an important component of international trade. Based on the related data from 1992 to 2011, the essay analyzes influence on economic growth from import and export of cultural trade. The results show that there is a co-integration relationship between export of cultural trade and economic growth, between import of cultural trade and economic growth separately. Export of cultural trade brings the syntropic Shock to economic growth, and import of cultural trade brings the reversed shock to economic growth. The influence of export of cultural trade on economic growth is far greater than the influence of import of cultural trade. By comparison and analysis of influence on economic growth from export of goods trade, service trade, cultural trade. The paper draws the conclusion ： pulling effect from export of cultural trade on economic growth is weak.
