湖南财政经济学院学报
湖南財政經濟學院學報
호남재정경제학원학보
Journal of Hunan Finance and Economic University
2014年
3期
140~147
,共null页
Shift-Share分析 劳动生产率 结构转换 市场化改革
Shift-Share分析 勞動生產率 結構轉換 市場化改革
Shift-Share분석 노동생산솔 결구전환 시장화개혁
Shift - Share analysis ; labor productivity; structural change; market - oriented reform
借助Shift-Share方法分解1978-2012年上海经济增长的劳动生产率变动得出：整体经济和第三产业仅存在“结构奖赏”效应,但贡献度有限;第一和第二产业仅存在“结构惩罚”效应;整体经济和三次产业结构转换的经济增长效应已日渐缩小.但这并不表明市场化改革红利已消失,因为生产要素的“配置效率落差”和“反效率配置”现象还将长期存在,即上海还存在推进市场化改革来提升生产效率的潜力.
藉助Shift-Share方法分解1978-2012年上海經濟增長的勞動生產率變動得齣：整體經濟和第三產業僅存在“結構獎賞”效應,但貢獻度有限;第一和第二產業僅存在“結構懲罰”效應;整體經濟和三次產業結構轉換的經濟增長效應已日漸縮小.但這併不錶明市場化改革紅利已消失,因為生產要素的“配置效率落差”和“反效率配置”現象還將長期存在,即上海還存在推進市場化改革來提升生產效率的潛力.
차조Shift-Share방법분해1978-2012년상해경제증장적노동생산솔변동득출：정체경제화제삼산업부존재“결구장상”효응,단공헌도유한;제일화제이산업부존재“결구징벌”효응;정체경제화삼차산업결구전환적경제증장효응이일점축소.단저병불표명시장화개혁홍리이소실,인위생산요소적“배치효솔락차”화“반효솔배치”현상환장장기존재,즉상해환존재추진시장화개혁래제승생산효솔적잠력.
With the Shift -Share analysis method to decompose the labor productivity of Shanghai during 2001 -2012, this paper concludes that there exist weaker and diminishing structure rewards in the Total Economy and the Tertiary Industry, but structure punishment in Primary Industry and Secondary Industry. The convergence to zero of the rate of contribution from structure change in the long term indicates that the economic growth effect of structure change is becoming weaker. But it is necessary and potential for Shanghai to improve the productivity by deepening market - oriented reform, because there will exist the anti - efficiency and the gap of factor aUocation in a long term,
