CAJ | 학술논문

物流服务业是生产性服务业重要的组成部分，物流服务业区域集聚是现代物流服务业发展水平提高的一种表现，有利于降低社会物流总成本，促进区域经济发展。文章利用2001～2012年我国大陆31个省域面板数据，采用动态面板数据模型对物流服务业集聚度对区域经济增长的动态效应进行估计和检验发现，在考虑相关控制变量基础上，物流服务业集聚水平对我国及东中西部三个区域经济增长的即期效应均为负，而我国东中西部区域分别在其集聚水平的1阶、2阶、3阶滞后期对区域经济增长产生了显著的正效应。这表明，我国不同区域物流服务业集聚水平对区域经济增长的效应不仅具有空间差异，而且存在动态的时间滞后效应，并且随着服务经济的深入以及物流服务专业化的进一步发展，物流服务业集聚水平将直接影响区域经济增长。为更好地促进区域经济增长，实现区域经济与物流服务业集聚协同发展，应充分重视物流服务业规模化、专业化与区域经济发展的协调性，合理规划并建立区域物流服务节点，保证其有效运营和管理；重视区域经济发展中对各项控制变量的依赖，特别是加大人力资本投资、研发投入、信息基础设施建设。
물류복무업시생산성복무업중요적조성부분，물류복무업구역집취시현대물류복무업발전수평제고적일충표현，유리우강저사회물류총성본，촉진구역경제발전。문장이용2001～2012년아국대륙31개성역면판수거，채용동태면판수거모형대물류복무업집취도대구역경제증장적동태효응진행고계화검험발현，재고필상관공제변량기출상，물류복무업집취수평대아국급동중서부삼개구역경제증장적즉기효응균위부，이아국동중서부구역분별재기집취수평적1계、2계、3계체후기대구역경제증장산생료현저적정효응。저표명，아국불동구역물류복무업집취수평대구역경제증장적효응불부구유공간차이，이차존재동태적시간체후효응，병차수착복무경제적심입이급물류복무전업화적진일보발전，물류복무업집취수평장직접영향구역경제증장。위경호지촉진구역경제증장，실현구역경제여물류복무업집취협동발전，응충분중시물류복무업규모화、전업화여구역경제발전적협조성，합리규화병건립구역물류복무절점，보증기유효운영화관리；중시구역경제발전중대각항공제변량적의뢰，특별시가대인력자본투자、연발투입、신식기출설시건설。
Logistic service industry is the important components of productive service industry; the regional agglomeration of logistic service industry is the demonstration of the improvement of modern logistics service industry development; the agglomeration will be beneficial to the reduction of overall social logistic cost and the promotion of regional economic development. The author uses the panel data of 31 provinces of China in 2000-2012, and tests the dynamic effects of logistics service industry agglomeration on regional economic growth in China. The empirical results show that： under the control variables, the immediate effects of agglomeration degree on the eastern, central and western regions of China are all negative;but the first-order lag, second-order lag and third-order lag of logistics service industry agglomeration in eastern, central and western regions have significant positive effects. It shows that the effects of logistics industry agglomeration on regional economic growth are not only spatially different, but there is also a time lag dynamics in different regions of China. So, to better promote the regional economic growth and realize the coordinate development of regional economy and agglomeration of logistics service industry, we should pay more attention to the coordination between the scaled and special development of logistic service industry and regional economic development, rationally plan and build regional logistic service nodes and guarantee the effective operation and management;we should also pay more attention to the dependence on controlled variables in the development of regional economy, and increase investment in HR, R＆amp;D, and the construction of information infrastructure.