国际金融研究
國際金融研究
국제금융연구
Studies of International Finance
2014年
7期
28~36
,共null页
东亚美元本位制 博弈均衡 结构性权力 市场提供者
東亞美元本位製 博弈均衡 結構性權力 市場提供者
동아미원본위제 박혁균형 결구성권력 시장제공자
East Asian Dollar Standard ; Game Equilibrium ; Structural Powers ; Market Supplier
东亚是支撑全球美元本位制的一个重要区域。从性质上看.东亚美元本位制是东亚各经济体与美国在战后的长期交往中所达成的互惠性和恐怖性兼具的“博弈均衡”。其特征体现在高额的美元储备、对美元的“浮动恐惧”、美元作为主要贸易计价及结算和外汇交易货币、缺乏对贸易长期失衡的有效调节及东亚陷入不对称调节困境。东亚美元本位制可持续的根源是美国在安全、生产、金融、知识和贸易等方面拥有对东亚的结构性权力。作为今后东亚摆脱美元依赖的一个合意选择.中国需重点在生产、金融、知识和贸易四个方面重塑东亚的权力结构.
東亞是支撐全毬美元本位製的一箇重要區域。從性質上看.東亞美元本位製是東亞各經濟體與美國在戰後的長期交往中所達成的互惠性和恐怖性兼具的“博弈均衡”。其特徵體現在高額的美元儲備、對美元的“浮動恐懼”、美元作為主要貿易計價及結算和外彙交易貨幣、缺乏對貿易長期失衡的有效調節及東亞陷入不對稱調節睏境。東亞美元本位製可持續的根源是美國在安全、生產、金融、知識和貿易等方麵擁有對東亞的結構性權力。作為今後東亞襬脫美元依賴的一箇閤意選擇.中國需重點在生產、金融、知識和貿易四箇方麵重塑東亞的權力結構.
동아시지탱전구미원본위제적일개중요구역。종성질상간.동아미원본위제시동아각경제체여미국재전후적장기교왕중소체성적호혜성화공포성겸구적“박혁균형”。기특정체현재고액적미원저비、대미원적“부동공구”、미원작위주요무역계개급결산화외회교역화폐、결핍대무역장기실형적유효조절급동아함입불대칭조절곤경。동아미원본위제가지속적근원시미국재안전、생산、금융、지식화무역등방면옹유대동아적결구성권력。작위금후동아파탈미원의뢰적일개합의선택.중국수중점재생산、금융、지식화무역사개방면중소동아적권력결구.
One of the important regions which support the global dollar standard is East Asia. The East Asian dollar standard is in nature a kind of "game equilibrium" of reciprocity and horror as a result of long run communications between East Asian economies and the U.S. since the end of world war Ⅱ. Its main characteristics are as follows: huge foreign exchange reserves in U.S. dollar, fear of floating against dollar, dollar serving as a major invoicing and foreign exchange currency, lacking efficient adjustment of long term trade imbalance and asymmetrical adjustment dilemma facing East Asia. The reason for the sustainability of the East Asian dollar standard lies in the U.S. power over East Asia in security structure, production structure, financial structure, knowledge structure, and trade structure. As a desirable alternative in East Asia's decoupling from U.S. dollar, China needs to take efforts in reshaping East Asia's power structures in production, finance, knowledge and trade aspects.