CAJ | 학술논문

旅游市场需求和变动趋势是区域旅游业可持续发展所必须时时掌握的参考信息，其中旅游市场发展动态以及游客数量更是旅游业未来发展所需的必要信息。本文采用西藏旅游者人数时间序列数据，利用预测模型预测西藏旅游市场未来需求，提供西藏旅游发展规划参考依据。
여유시장수구화변동추세시구역여유업가지속발전소필수시시장악적삼고신식，기중여유시장발전동태이급유객수량경시여유업미래발전소수적필요신식。본문채용서장여유자인수시간서렬수거，이용예측모형예측서장여유시장미래수구，제공서장여유발전규화삼고의거。
Tourism market demand and changing trend are necessary to grasp information for the sustainable development of regional tourism,including tourism market development trends as well as the number of visitors for future. This article uses the time series data of the total number of visitors to Tibet,using the forecasting model to predict the future demand of Tibet tourism market,to provide the reference for the tourism development in Tibet.