CAJ | 학술논문

本文基于上海市1446份农民工调查样本，采用主成分分析和计量分析方法，研究了农民工流动性转移和永久性迁移的影响因素及差异。研究发现：农村因素不是影响农民迁移的核心因素，其核心影响因素在输入地（即城镇）。因此，侧重于从城镇吸引力角度制定有利于农民工永久性迁移的政策，并提高农村劳动力的整体素质，应该是政策制定的根本落脚点。本文对于研究农村劳动力从流动性转移到永久性迁移的本质性转变，以及城镇化道路的推进路径和模式选择具有借鉴意义。
본문기우상해시1446빈농민공조사양본，채용주성분분석화계량분석방법，연구료농민공류동성전이화영구성천이적영향인소급차이。연구발현：농촌인소불시영향농민천이적핵심인소，기핵심영향인소재수입지（즉성진）。인차，측중우종성진흡인력각도제정유리우농민공영구성천이적정책，병제고농촌노동력적정체소질，응해시정책제정적근본락각점。본문대우연구농촌노동력종류동성전이도영구성천이적본질성전변，이급성진화도로적추진로경화모식선택구유차감의의。
Based on a survey of 1 446 rural migrant workers in Shanghai, this paper employs principal component analysis and econometric analysis to study the influencing factors and differences of temporary and permanent migration of rural migrant workers. It concludes that rural factors are not the core factors influencing farmer migration which lie in input destination, namely cities. Therefore, the emphasis on making the policy of permanent migration of rural workers from a perspective of city attraction and the improvement of overall quality of rural labor should be the fundamental foothold of policy-making. It provides reference for the study of natural transformation of rural labor from temporary migration and permanent migration and advancement path and mode selection of urbanization.