CAJ | 학술논문

利用2000—2010年中国省际面板数据，对环境规制与碳排放中可能存在的“倒逼效应”与“倒退效应”进行了理论与实证分析。研究结果表明：“倒逼效应”不显著，即我国目前环境规制的政策手段未能有效地通过促进技术创新进而减少碳排放；环境规制强度在一定范围内对经济增长起促进作用，但当环境规制强度超过一定限度后，“倒退效应”起作用，即过强的环境规制会对经济增长产生一定的抑制作用。
이용2000—2010년중국성제면판수거，대배경규제여탄배방중가능존재적“도핍효응”여“도퇴효응”진행료이론여실증분석。연구결과표명：“도핍효응”불현저，즉아국목전배경규제적정책수단미능유효지통과촉진기술창신진이감소탄배방；배경규제강도재일정범위내대경제증장기촉진작용，단당배경규제강도초과일정한도후，“도퇴효응”기작용，즉과강적배경규제회대경제증장산생일정적억제작용。
This paper discussed whether reverse effect and regressive effect exist or not both from theoretical aspect and empirical aspect based on provincial panel data from 2000 to 2010. The result shows that reverse effect isn＇ t significant which indicates Chinese current environmental regulation policy failed to reduces carbon emissions through inspiring technological innovation. And the improving of environmental regulation intensity have a positive impact on economic growth within a certain range. Nevertheless, regressive effect shows up when the intensity exceeds a certain limit. That is to say excessive environmental regulation would produce certain inhibitory effect on economic growth.